{"id":35671,"date":"2024-07-08T12:14:05","date_gmt":"2024-07-08T12:14:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=35671"},"modified":"2024-07-08T12:14:05","modified_gmt":"2024-07-08T12:14:05","slug":"starlight-star-bright","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2024\/07\/08\/starlight-star-bright\/","title":{"rendered":"Starlight, Star Bright"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/II\/Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp3\"> Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/II\/Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp4\"> Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/II\/Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp3\"> Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/II\/Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp4\"> Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/II\/Starlight-Star-Bright-organ-prelude.mp3\"> Starlight-Star-Bright-organ-prelude.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nStarlight, star bright.<br \/>\nFirst star I see tonight.<br \/>\nWish I may, wish I might.<br \/>\nHave the wish I wish, tonight &#8212;<br \/>\nShine on people of the Earth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nAs you look out through the stars<br \/>\nDo you wonder where we are<br \/>\n&#8230; in time and space<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nShine on people of the Earth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<br \/>\nGive the meaning a new birth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<br \/>\nShine on everyone<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nThe human race<br \/>\nSet the pace<br \/>\nThat we accelerate<br \/>\nCalled it fate<\/p>\n<p>Non-ceasing<br \/>\n(Increasing)<br \/>\nEveryday<br \/>\n(Faster, faster)<br \/>\nIn disaster&#8217;s way<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nAs you look out through the stars<br \/>\nDo you wonder where we are<br \/>\n&#8230; in time and space<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nShine on people of the Earth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<br \/>\nGive the meaning a new birth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<br \/>\nShine on everyone<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nThe human race<br \/>\nSet the pace<br \/>\nThat we accelerate<br \/>\nCalled it fate<\/p>\n<p>Non-ceasing<br \/>\n(Increasing)<br \/>\nEveryday<br \/>\n(Faster, faster)<br \/>\nIn disaster&#8217;s way<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nStarlight, star bright.<br \/>\nFirst star I see tonight.<br \/>\nShine on people of the Earth<br \/>\n(shine on and on)<\/p>\n<p>A SCIENCE NOTE<br \/>\nHow fast are humans causing the climate to change? When we started our experiments in the 1990&#8217;s, we thought the time scale was in millenniums. If climate change were happening on a linear basis, we would have been correct; however, by the late 90&#8217;s we were convinced climate change was non-linear.<\/p>\n<p><b>Doubling time<\/b> refers to the duration needed for a quantity to double in size, a characteristic of exponential growth. By 2020, substantial data revealed that the doubling time for certain anthropogenic climate impacts had decreased significantly, shifting from 100 years to merely 10 years. For instance, the rate of sea level rise has surged from approximately 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. This trend suggests that the doubling period is likely to further contract, heightening the prospect of sea levels ascending at a rate of one foot per year by 2050.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/pictures\/Doubling-Time-Formula.jpg\" alt=\"T_{d}=t \\frac{\\ln (2)}{\\ln \\left(1+\\frac{r}{100}\\right)}\" \/><br \/>\nT_{d}=t \\frac{\\ln (2)}{\\ln \\left(1+\\frac{r}{100}\\right)}<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-T_{d}\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_1.svg\" alt=\"T_{d}\" data-atf=\"1\" data-frt=\"0\" \/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">doubling time<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-t\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_2.svg\" alt=\"t\" data-atf=\"1\" data-frt=\"0\" \/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">time<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-{r}\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_3.svg\" alt=\"{r}\" data-atf=\"4\" data-frt=\"0\" \/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">growth rate<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Though the rate of change in climate disasters&#8217; intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a &#8220;rule-of-thumb&#8221; can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, &#8220;Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec&#8217;s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>50% more intense<br \/>\n7 x more likely<\/p>\n<p>These numbers may be similar in other catastrophes like <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Rain.html\">atmospheric rivers<\/a>, hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, floods, tornadoes, and sea level rise.<\/p>\n<p>If the doubling time remains at 10 years, we could see extreme events 100% more intense and\/or longer in duration, as well as, 14 times more likely to occur. As mentioned above, we expect the doubling time to be reduced. If the doubling time is 5 years, in ten years we could see 200% more intense and longer extreme weather events being 28 times more likely to occur.<\/p>\n<p><b>2024 Update<\/b><br \/>\nGlobal average sea level rose by about 0.3 inches (0.76 centimeters) from 2022 to 2023, according to a NASA-led analysis. When we authored this paper in 2023, we could not have foreseen the swift acceleration of this trend. Initially projected to double over a span of 100 years, the rate of sea level rise dramatically escalated, shortening the doubling period to a mere 10 years by 2020. Shockingly, recent observations suggest that this doubling period has further compressed to just 2 years. It is imperative to acknowledge and address this concerning trend, hoping it is not a foreboding indication of a new norm but rather an anomaly.<\/p>\n<h3>From the album &#8220;How to Serve Man&#8221; by <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/The_Beatless_Sense_Mongers\/\">The Beatless Sense Mongers<\/a><\/h3>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/\">MegaEpix Enormous<\/a><\/h2>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/\">A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp3 Starlight-Star-Bright-I.mp4 Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp3 Starlight-Star-Bright-II.mp4 Starlight-Star-Bright-organ-prelude.mp3 [Intro] Starlight, star bright. First star I see tonight. Wish I may, wish I might. Have the wish I wish, tonight &#8212; Shine on people of the Earth (shine on and on) [Verse 1] As you look out through the stars Do you wonder where we are &#8230; in time [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,5,9,14,3955,24],"tags":[163,3990,546,563],"class_list":["post-35671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-chaos-theory","category-daniel","category-lyrics","category-megaepix-enormous","category-the-beatless-sense-mongers","tag-climate-change","tag-how-to-serve-man","tag-mp4","tag-music-videos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35671"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35671\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35680,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35671\/revisions\/35680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}