{"id":37282,"date":"2024-10-01T14:04:32","date_gmt":"2024-10-01T14:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=37282"},"modified":"2024-10-01T14:12:29","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T14:12:29","slug":"but-are-you-sure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2024\/10\/01\/but-are-you-sure\/","title":{"rendered":"But, Are You Sure?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp4\"> But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp4\"> But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp4\"> But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp4\"> But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp4<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-acoustic.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-acoustic.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/But-Are-You-Sure-electric.mp3\"> But-Are-You-Sure-electric.mp3<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nYes.<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nThe rain is falling harder<br \/>\nFurther, faster<br \/>\nThe pain is growing harder<br \/>\nFurther, faster<br \/>\nInsane is knowing it&#8217;s us<br \/>\nDriving the bus<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nAre you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re sure it will happen again.)<br \/>\nBut, are you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re certain&#8230; again and again and again.)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nYes.<br \/>\nIn the end, my friend<br \/>\nWe partake the same mistake<br \/>\nAnd won&#8217;t retreat from repeat<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nThe rain is pouring (more and more)<br \/>\nThen before (that&#8217;s for sure)<br \/>\nThe pain is soaring (gore, gore, gore)<br \/>\nOh, no more (woe woah, can&#8217;t endure)<br \/>\nInsane is knowing our hand<br \/>\nIs in command (understand?)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nAre you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re sure it will happen again.)<br \/>\nBut, are you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re certain&#8230; again and again and again.)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nIn the end, my friend<br \/>\nWe partake the same mistake<br \/>\nAnd won&#8217;t retreat from repeat<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nAre you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re sure it will happen again.)<br \/>\nBut, are you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again?<br \/>\n(Yes, we&#8217;re certain&#8230; again and again and again.)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nIn the end, my friend&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>A SCIENCE NOTE<br \/>\nThere\u2019s no doubt that human activity is accelerating climate change, and global warming will continue to intensify. The changes in rain physics are a prime example of this impact.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re wondering why rain-related severe weather events are becoming more frequent and intense, it\u2019s due to climate change. Rising temperatures increase the amount of humidity in the atmosphere, as warmer air holds more moisture. The Clausius-Clapeyron equation shows that for every 1\u00b0C (1.8\u00b0F) increase in temperature, the air can hold about 7% more water vapor.<\/p>\n<p>Many areas in the U.S. are experiencing average temperature increases of up to 10\u00b0C, extending over more weeks during both spring and fall. This increase allows the atmosphere to hold about 70% more water vapor, leading to significantly more rainfall. Additionally, raindrops are becoming larger and falling faster, which increases their momentum. Using the formula p=mv (momentum = mass x velocity), larger and faster raindrops carry more energy.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, the number of raindrops is also increasing. A higher concentration of raindrops in a given time and area further boosts momentum. For example, if <span class=\"katex\"><span class=\"katex-mathml\">N<\/span><\/span> raindrops, each with mass <span class=\"katex\"><span class=\"katex-mathml\">m<\/span><\/span> and velocity <span class=\"katex\"><span class=\"katex-mathml\">v<\/span><\/span>, hit a surface area <span class=\"katex\"><span class=\"katex-mathml\">A<\/span><\/span> per second, the total momentum impacting the surface is <span class=\"katex\"><span class=\"katex-mathml\">Nmv<\/span><\/span> per second. This contributes to increased force and damage during rainstorms.<\/p>\n<p>The end result is an increase not only in the frequency and intensity of storms but also in the momentum of falling rain, which intensifies their impact.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Violent Rain<\/strong><br \/>\nWhat turns these severe weather events into \u2018violent rain events\u2019 is the application of the drag equation and flow dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>Mass and velocity are just part of the equation; density also plays a key role. The combination of these variables increases the intensity of flow forces. Wind and water forces scale with the square of velocity, meaning that as flow speeds increase \u2014 due to more intense heating or heavier rainfall \u2014 the damage scales accordingly. According to drag physics, force is proportional to density times the square of velocity.<\/p>\n<p>For example, a 20-mile-an-hour wind exerts four times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind, while a 40-mile-an-hour wind exerts 16 times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind. At 50 miles an hour, the force is 25 times greater, and at 60 miles an hour, it&#8217;s 36 times greater than at 10 miles an hour. Now, add the density factor: water is about 800 times denser than air, so a 10-mile-an-hour water flow exerts 800 times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind.<\/p>\n<p>As flow velocities increase due to climate change, the forces \u2014 and thus the damage \u2014 scale with the square of the velocities. While we may not know precisely how much velocities will rise with climate change, we&#8217;re already seeing the effects: overwhelmed flood and sewage systems, collapsing hillsides, and more.<\/p>\n<p>ALSO SEE:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Rain.html\"><b>The Reign of Violent Rain<\/b><\/a> \/ Brouse and Mukherjee (2023-2024)<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Raindrops.html\"><b>Violent Raindrops: Raindrops Are Increasing in Size<\/b><\/a> \/ Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)<\/p>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/\">A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h2>\n<h3>&#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/tag\/lost-in-the-sound\/\">Lost in the Sound<\/a>&#8221; by <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/The_Beatless_Sense_Mongers\/\">The Beatless Sense Mongers<\/a><\/h3>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/V\/\">MegaEpix Enormous<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp3 But-Are-You-Sure-0.mp4 But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp3 But-Are-You-Sure-I.mp4 But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp3 But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged-Underground-IV.mp4 But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp3 But-Are-You-Sure-Unplugged.mp4 But-Are-You-Sure-acoustic.mp3 But-Are-You-Sure-electric.mp3 [Intro] Yes. [Verse 1] The rain is falling harder Further, faster The pain is growing harder Further, faster Insane is knowing it&#8217;s us Driving the bus [Chorus] Are you sure it&#8217;s going to happen again? (Yes, we&#8217;re sure it will happen again.) But, are you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,14,3955,24],"tags":[163,4019,546,563],"class_list":["post-37282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-daniel","category-lyrics","category-megaepix-enormous","category-the-beatless-sense-mongers","tag-climate-change","tag-lost-in-the-sound","tag-mp4","tag-music-videos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37282"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37282\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37294,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37282\/revisions\/37294"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}