{"id":31552,"date":"2023-10-01T12:16:18","date_gmt":"2023-10-01T12:16:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=31552"},"modified":"2023-10-02T12:43:20","modified_gmt":"2023-10-02T12:43:20","slug":"doubling-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2023\/10\/01\/doubling-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Doubling Time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>LYRICS<br \/>\nGo ahead<br \/>\nScratch at the surface<br \/>\nGo ahead<br \/>\nMind needs fed<br \/>\n2+2, 4+4<br \/>\nGo for more<br \/>\n8+8<br \/>\nNo debate<br \/>\nDouble the score<\/p>\n<p>Go ahead<br \/>\nScratch at the surface<br \/>\nGo ahead<br \/>\nMind needs fed<br \/>\n16+16<br \/>\nKnow what I mean?<br \/>\n32+32<br \/>\nYes, I do<\/p>\n<p>Go ahead<br \/>\nScratch at the surface<br \/>\nGo ahead<br \/>\nMind needs fed<br \/>\n64+64<br \/>\nGo for more<br \/>\n128+128<br \/>\nCelebrate<br \/>\nGo for more<br \/>\nDouble the score<br \/>\nThis time<br \/>\nIt&#8217;s time<br \/>\nFor double time<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/danielle.membrane.com\/Daniel-Brouse\/Rawhide-Away\/DR0000_0584-Doubling-Time.mp3\">Doubling Time.mp3<\/a> (unplugged to save energy)<\/p>\n<p>Chords: E A D G \/ E A D E \/ E A G F# E<br \/>\nInstrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar<br \/>\nWritten and recorded at Lake Wynonah, Pennsylvania<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"cYCCqc PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"formula-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"XqHOTb IGEbUc\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time.svg\" alt=\"T_{d}=t \\frac{\\ln (2)}{\\ln \\left(1+\\frac{r}{100}\\right)}\" data-atf=\"1\" data-frt=\"0\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-T_{d}\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_1.svg\" alt=\"T_{d}\" data-atf=\"1\" data-frt=\"0\"\/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">doubling time<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-t\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_2.svg\" alt=\"t\" data-atf=\"1\" data-frt=\"0\"\/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">time<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tS1mvb PZPZlf\" data-attrid=\"variable-{r}\">\n<td class=\"wv1nEe\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"ZFAGbf\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gstatic.com\/education\/formulas2\/553212783\/en\/doubling_time_doubling_time_var_3.svg\" alt=\"{r}\" data-atf=\"4\" data-frt=\"0\"\/><\/td>\n<td>=<\/td>\n<td class=\"SJJOtf\"><span class=\"GQLwEe\">growth rate<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Doubling time is the amount of time it takes for a quantity to double in size (exponential growth). For instance, if you invest your money at 10%, it will take about 7 years to double your money. For every $1,000 invested today, you will accumulate $128,000 in 49 years.<\/p>\n<p>The same principle holds true with the accumulated impact of climate change. By 2020, there was enough data to see the &#8220;doubling period&#8221; of some anthropogenic climate affects had gone from 100 years to 10 years. For instance, the rate of sea level rise has gone from about 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. We expect to see the doubling period to continue to shrink raising the possibility of sea levels rising a foot\/year by 2050.<\/p>\n<p>Though the rate of change in climate disasters&#8217; intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a &#8220;rule-of-thumb&#8221; can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, &#8220;Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec&#8217;s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>50% more intense<br \/>\n7 x more likely<\/p>\n<p>These numbers may be similar in other catastrophes like hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, floods, tornadoes, and sea level rise.<\/p>\n<p>If the doubling time remains at 10 years, we could see extreme events 100% more intense and\/or longer in duration, as well as, 14 times more likely to occur. As mentioned above, we expect the doubling time to be reduced. If the doubling time is 5 years, in ten years we could see 200% more intense and longer extreme weather events being 28 times more likely to occur.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212; from <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Climate-Change-Acceleration-Rate.html\">Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration<\/a>&nbsp; \/ Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/go-net-zero.html\">What you can do today. How to save the planet.<\/a><\/h3>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Climate-Change-End-of-Times.html\">Climate Change: The End of Times<\/a><\/h3>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/\">A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>LYRICS Go ahead Scratch at the surface Go ahead Mind needs fed 2+2, 4+4 Go for more 8+8 No debate Double the score Go ahead Scratch at the surface Go ahead Mind needs fed 16+16 Know what I mean? 32+32 Yes, I do Go ahead Scratch at the surface Go ahead Mind needs fed 64+64 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,5,6,9,14,3878],"tags":[163,3932],"class_list":["post-31552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-chaos-theory","category-chords","category-daniel","category-lyrics","category-rawhide","tag-climate-change","tag-rawhide-away"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31552","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31552"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31552\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31565,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31552\/revisions\/31565"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}