{"id":42377,"date":"2025-03-26T11:50:24","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T11:50:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=42377"},"modified":"2025-03-26T12:20:25","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T12:20:25","slug":"shifting-goalposts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2025\/03\/26\/shifting-goalposts\/","title":{"rendered":"Shifting Goalposts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp3\">Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp4\">Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp3\">Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp4\">Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp3\">Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp4\">Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp3\">Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp4\">Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp4;<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XII\/Shifting-Goalposts-intro.mp3\">SShifting-Goalposts-intro.mp3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nShifting goalposts<br \/>\nBy Earth&#8217;s hosts<br \/>\nPast one point five<br \/>\nCan we survive<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nUninterested interests shift<br \/>\nTheir morals set adrift<br \/>\nThe target unachievable<br \/>\nAre they believable<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nShifting goalposts<br \/>\nBy Earth&#8217;s hosts<br \/>\nPast one point five<br \/>\n(Can we survive)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nWill we thrive<br \/>\n(As we dive)<br \/>\nInto the depths of despair<br \/>\n(Are we already there?)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nOvershoot and return<br \/>\nWon&#8217;t we ever learn<br \/>\nRemoval technology<br \/>\nIs mythology<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nShifting goalposts<br \/>\nBy Earth&#8217;s hosts<br \/>\nPast one point five<br \/>\n(Can we survive)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nWill we thrive<br \/>\n(As we dive)<br \/>\nInto the depths of despair<br \/>\n(Are we already there?)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nShifting goalposts<br \/>\nBy Earth&#8217;s hosts<br \/>\nPast one point five<br \/>\n(Can we survive)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nCan I stay alive<br \/>\n(If we drive)<\/p>\n<p>A SCIENCE NOTE<br \/>\nThe <strong data-start=\"4\" data-end=\"43\">1.5\u00b0C target in the Paris Agreement<\/strong> is a <strong data-start=\"49\" data-end=\"66\">moving target<\/strong> due to the way global temperatures are measured and interpreted.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"1400\" data-end=\"1460\"><strong data-start=\"1407\" data-end=\"1460\">Feedback Loops and the Risk of &#8220;Locking In&#8221; 1.5\u00b0C<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"1464\" data-end=\"1723\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1464\" data-end=\"1545\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1466\" data-end=\"1545\">If emissions stay high, we will <strong data-start=\"1498\" data-end=\"1513\">permanently<\/strong> lock in warming beyond 1.5\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1549\" data-end=\"1723\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1551\" data-end=\"1723\">The real danger is that if we <strong data-start=\"1581\" data-end=\"1597\">delay action<\/strong>, crossing 1.5\u00b0C even temporarily <strong data-start=\"1631\" data-end=\"1674\">triggers irreversible climate feedbacks<\/strong>, making it impossible to return to safer levels.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"1725\" data-end=\"1754\"><strong data-start=\"1732\" data-end=\"1754\">Shifting Goalposts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"1758\" data-end=\"2055\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1758\" data-end=\"1894\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1760\" data-end=\"1894\">Some political and economic interests may <strong data-start=\"1802\" data-end=\"1813\">reframe<\/strong> the target as unachievable, shifting focus to <strong data-start=\"1860\" data-end=\"1883\">&#8220;keeping below 2\u00b0C&#8221;<\/strong> instead.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1898\" data-end=\"2055\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1900\" data-end=\"2055\">Others may push for &#8220;overshoot and return&#8221; scenarios, where we exceed 1.5\u00b0C but later try to bring temperatures back down with carbon removal technologies.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"2057\" data-end=\"2076\"><strong data-start=\"2061\" data-end=\"2076\">Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"2077\" data-end=\"2454\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2077\" data-end=\"2164\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2079\" data-end=\"2164\">The <strong data-start=\"2083\" data-end=\"2161\">Paris 1.5\u00b0C target was never a strict \u201cred line\u201d but a long-term guideline<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2165\" data-end=\"2310\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2167\" data-end=\"2310\">Since <strong data-start=\"2173\" data-end=\"2238\">2024 has already passed that threshold in annual temperatures<\/strong>, the debate now shifts to whether this is <strong data-start=\"2281\" data-end=\"2307\">temporary or permanent<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2311\" data-end=\"2454\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2313\" data-end=\"2454\">The more we delay cutting emissions, the more <strong data-start=\"2359\" data-end=\"2393\">1.5\u00b0C becomes truly impossible<\/strong>, moving us toward <strong data-start=\"2412\" data-end=\"2453\">a 2\u00b0C+ world with severe consequences<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>From the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/moving-target\/\">Moving Target<\/a>&#8220;<\/h3>\n<h3>Also found on the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/reggae-foray\/\">Reggae Foray<\/a>&#8220;<\/h3>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/\">The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp3 Shifting-Goalposts-I.mp4 Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp3 Shifting-Goalposts-II-R.mp4 Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp3 Shifting-Goalposts-Reggae.mp4 Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp3 Shifting-Goalposts-Unplugged-Underground-XVI.mp4; SShifting-Goalposts-intro.mp3 [Intro] Shifting goalposts By Earth&#8217;s hosts Past one point five Can we survive [Verse 1] Uninterested interests shift Their morals set adrift The target unachievable Are they believable [Chorus] Shifting goalposts By Earth&#8217;s hosts Past one point five (Can we survive) [Bridge] Will we thrive (As [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,14,17],"tags":[4059,4110,4101],"class_list":["post-42377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-daniel","category-lyrics","category-narley-marley-reggae","tag-climate-science","tag-moving-target","tag-reggae-foray"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42377"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42377\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42402,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42377\/revisions\/42402"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}