{"id":49292,"date":"2025-12-14T16:32:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T16:32:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=49292"},"modified":"2025-12-14T16:32:31","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T16:32:31","slug":"with-the-ease-of-disease","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2025\/12\/14\/with-the-ease-of-disease\/","title":{"rendered":"With the Ease of Disease"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp3\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp3;<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp4\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp3\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp4\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-1.mp4\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-1.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-2.mp4\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-2.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/With-the-Ease-of-Disease-intro.mp3\">With-the-Ease-of-Disease-intro.mp3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nWith the ease of disease<br \/>\n(She&#8217;ll do as she please)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nHector,<br \/>\nAre you off on&#8230;<br \/>\n(Another vector)<br \/>\nYou, mutant, you<br \/>\n(What are ya gonna do?)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nSpread, baby, spread<br \/>\n(On her death bed)<br \/>\nDread, baby, dread<br \/>\n(Your baby&#8217;s dead)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nWith the ease of disease<br \/>\n(She&#8217;ll do as she please)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nIf you tell 2 friends<br \/>\n(And they tell 2 friends)<br \/>\nAnd, so, woe&#8230; no whoa<br \/>\n(You know how it ends)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nSpread, baby, spread<br \/>\n(On her death bed)<br \/>\nDread, baby, dread<br \/>\n(Your baby&#8217;s dead)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nSo, let it be said:<br \/>\n(Stop the spread!)<br \/>\nWhy refrain&#8230;<br \/>\n(Doesn&#8217;t take a brain)<br \/>\n(Just a heart)<br \/>\n&#8230; to start<br \/>\nWith the ease of disease<br \/>\n(She&#8217;ll do as she please)<br \/>\n&#8230; &#8216;less we bring &#8216;er to her knees<br \/>\n(Bring &#8216;er to her knees!)<\/p>\n<p>ABOUT THE SONG AND THE SCIENCE<\/p>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIARAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">\n<div data-subtree=\"aimfl\" data-complete=\"true\">Disease spread is fundamentally a <mark class=\"HxTRcb\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">non-linear<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> process because the number of new infections isn&#8217;t constant; it accelerates rapidly as the number of infected individuals increases<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/mark>. This is a classic example of an <strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">exponential growth curve<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong>, much like the &#8220;J-curve&#8221; shape previously discussed [1].<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_e,BBvcW_f,BBvcW_g\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_e\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/span>This means the growth rate itself grows over time, leading to a dramatic increase in cases, rather than a steady, linear progression.<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_i,BBvcW_j,BBvcW_k\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_i\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div data-subtree=\"aimfl\" data-complete=\"true\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"otQkpb\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\">The Mechanism of Non-Linear Transmission<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_n,BBvcW_o,BBvcW_p\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_n\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"3b244f80-438e-4648-9292-c222470794a4\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_n\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_n\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgDEAA\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;3b244f80-438e-4648-9292-c222470794a4&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIBBAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">The non-linear nature is best explained by how infections multiply within a population:<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_r,BBvcW_s,BBvcW_t\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_r\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"519dd03f-54e5-4b74-aa05-a1ace613211a\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_r\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_r\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgEEAE\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;519dd03f-54e5-4b74-aa05-a1ace613211a&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<ol class=\"IaGLZe VimKh\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ol class=\"IaGLZe VimKh\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBRAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Linear Growth:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> If one infected person always infected exactly <em class=\"eujQNb\" data-complete=\"true\">one<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/em> other person (a rate of 1:1), the growth would be linear (1, 2, 3, 4, 5 infections).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBRAB\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Exponential\/Non-Linear Growth:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> In most infectious diseases, one person infects <em class=\"eujQNb\" data-complete=\"true\">more than one<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/em> person. The number of new cases compounds with each cycle of transmission.<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_13,BBvcW_14,BBvcW_15\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_13\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"61ec56d8-006b-46fc-8f9d-827c1c91286f\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_13\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_13\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgFEAI\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;61ec56d8-006b-46fc-8f9d-827c1c91286f&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/p>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIBhAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">The classic exponential pattern is:<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_17,BBvcW_18,BBvcW_19\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_17\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<ul class=\"KsbFXc U6u95\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul class=\"KsbFXc U6u95\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBxAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Generation 1:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> 1 person is infected.<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBxAB\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Generation 2:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> 1 person infects 2 others (Total: 3 people infected).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBxAC\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Generation 3:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> Those 2 people each infect 2 more (Total: 7 people infected).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBxAD\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Generation 4:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> Those 4 people each infect 2 more (Total: 15 people infected).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIBxAE\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\">Generation 5:<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> Those 8 people each infect 2 more (Total: 31 people infected).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_1q,BBvcW_1r,BBvcW_1s\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_1q\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"5745db98-1cf5-4858-b77e-983ea2bbd5cd\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_1q\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_1q\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgHEAU\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;5745db98-1cf5-4858-b77e-983ea2bbd5cd&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/p>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEICBAA\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">The total number of cases quickly jumps from 1 to 31 in just a few cycles, illustrating the rapid upward curve of the &#8220;hockey stick&#8221; shape.<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_1u,BBvcW_1v,BBvcW_1w\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_1u\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"316039a2-a58f-4ba6-a64d-ebfcf61b727d\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_1u\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_1u\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgIEAE\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;316039a2-a58f-4ba6-a64d-ebfcf61b727d&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Fsg96\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\" data-complete=\"true\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"otQkpb\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\" data-complete=\"true\">The Role of R0<\/div>\n<div class=\"otQkpb\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\" data-complete=\"true\">Epidemiologists use a key metric called the <strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">basic reproduction number (<\/strong>R0<strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">)<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> to measure this spread rate.<\/div>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIChAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">\n<div data-xpm-copy-root=\"\" data-processed=\"true\">\n<div data-processed=\"true\"><\/div>\n<div data-processed=\"true\">R0 \u00a0is the average number of people that one infected person will pass the disease onto in a population where no one is immune.<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_27,BBvcW_28,BBvcW_29\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_27\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_2l,BBvcW_2m,BBvcW_2n\" data-complete=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;00198371-f048-4a1e-be75-2069f23f3e26&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Fsg96\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"otQkpb\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\">Non-Linearity in Vectors and Mutations<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_2q,BBvcW_2r,BBvcW_2s\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_2q\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"dc54c943-0dcd-4950-8275-1b78492c1fad\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_2q\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_2q\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgMEAA\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;dc54c943-0dcd-4950-8275-1b78492c1fad&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIDRAA\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">The non-linear dynamics extend beyond just the number of cases to the biological characteristics of the disease itself:<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_2u,BBvcW_2v,BBvcW_2w\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_2u\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"28971601-ba71-47fb-bbd7-5969ab970b18\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_2u\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_2u\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgNEAE\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;28971601-ba71-47fb-bbd7-5969ab970b18&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Fsg96\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"AdPoic\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\">1. Mutations and Variants<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_2z,BBvcW_30,BBvcW_31\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_2z\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"fd64c526-cf5f-4fb6-b265-0d10e6e702a4\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_2z\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_2z\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgOEAA\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;fd64c526-cf5f-4fb6-b265-0d10e6e702a4&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIDxAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">Genetic mutations accumulate over time, often randomly. The critical non-linearity comes from <strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">natural selection<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong> and <strong class=\"Yjhzub\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">viral fitness<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/strong>. While mutations are linear events (one change at a time), the <em class=\"eujQNb\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">impact<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/em> can be highly non-linear:<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_36,BBvcW_37,BBvcW_38\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_36\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"1aac621b-74f7-413f-8ce8-78c501e1fd69\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_36\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_36\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgPEAE\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;1aac621b-74f7-413f-8ce8-78c501e1fd69&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<ul class=\"KsbFXc U6u95\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul class=\"KsbFXc U6u95\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIEBAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\">A single, seemingly minor mutation might suddenly confer a massive advantage, such as higher transmissibility or immune escape (e.g., a new variant becomes dominant very quickly).<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<li data-hveid=\"CAEIEBAB\" data-complete=\"true\" data-sae=\"\"><span class=\"T286Pc\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\">This sudden shift in transmission dynamics dramatically alters the slope of the exponential growth curve.<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/span><span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_3e,BBvcW_3f,BBvcW_3g\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_3e\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"15cdc05b-02c5-4213-bc49-d0643454641c\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_3e\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_3e\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgQEAI\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;15cdc05b-02c5-4213-bc49-d0643454641c&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/p>\n<div class=\"Fsg96\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"AdPoic\" role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"3\" data-animation-nesting=\"\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\" data-complete=\"true\">2. Transmission (Vectors)<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_3j,BBvcW_3k,BBvcW_3l\" data-complete=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_3j\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"97f840be-cb86-4505-a2b7-f84ee7eeeae4\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_3j\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_3j\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgREAA\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;97f840be-cb86-4505-a2b7-f84ee7eeeae4&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIEhAA\" data-processed=\"true\" data-complete=\"true\">Vectors (carriers, which can be humans, mosquitoes, etc.) facilitate transmission. The overall spread rate is non-linear because the more vectors that are infected and interacting, the greater the <em class=\"eujQNb\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">probability<!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/em> of encounters that lead to new infections. It&#8217;s not just the number of infected people that matters, but also how densely they interact and how likely their interactions are to cause secondary infections.<span class=\"txxDge notranslate\" data-wiz-uids=\"BBvcW_3o,BBvcW_3p,BBvcW_3q\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><span class=\"vKEkVd\" data-animation-atomic=\"\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"class=BBvcW_3o\/TKHnVd;\" data-sae=\"\">\u00a0<button class=\"rBl3me\" tabindex=\"0\" data-amic=\"true\" data-icl-uuid=\"522ae8c7-99af-4c87-9a18-85dc51b3b976\" aria-label=\"View related links\" data-wiz-attrbind=\"disabled=BBvcW_3o\/C5gNJc;class=BBvcW_3o\/UpSNec;\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwiJp4i62buRAxU6K1kFHT63NOEQye0OegYIAQgSEAE\"><\/button><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[[null,null,&quot;522ae8c7-99af-4c87-9a18-85dc51b3b976&quot;,null,null,0,0,&quot;&quot;,&quot;&quot;]]--><\/span><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<div class=\"Fsg96\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\"><!--Sv6Kpe[]--><\/div>\n<hr class=\"j3tEEe\" data-serialized-params=\"[]\" data-processed=\"true\" data-sae=\"\" data-complete=\"true\" \/>\n<div class=\"Y3BBE\" data-sfc-cp=\"\" data-hveid=\"CAEIFBAA\" data-complete=\"true\" data-processed=\"true\">[1] The shape is called an exponential curve in calculus because the rate of growth is proportional to the current number of cases, which is the definition of exponential behavior.<\/div>\n<p><strong>From the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/nonlinear\/\">Nonlinear<\/a>&#8220;<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp3; With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Best-Of.mp4 With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp3 With-the-Ease-of-Disease.mp4 With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-1.mp4 With-the-Ease-of-Disease-Animation-2.mp4 With-the-Ease-of-Disease-intro.mp3 [Intro] With the ease of disease (She&#8217;ll do as she please) [Verse 1] Hector, Are you off on&#8230; (Another vector) You, mutant, you (What are ya gonna do?) [Chorus] Spread, baby, spread (On her death bed) Dread, baby, dread (Your baby&#8217;s dead) [Bridge] With the ease of disease [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,5,9,14],"tags":[4190],"class_list":["post-49292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-chaos-theory","category-daniel","category-lyrics","tag-nonlinear"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49292"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49292\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49304,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49292\/revisions\/49304"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}