{"id":49348,"date":"2025-12-16T14:14:54","date_gmt":"2025-12-16T14:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=49348"},"modified":"2025-12-16T14:22:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T14:22:25","slug":"know-snow-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2025\/12\/16\/know-snow-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Know Snow"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow.mp3\">Know-Snow.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow.mp4\">Know-Snow.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp3\">Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp3;<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp4\">Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow-Animation-1.mp4\">Know-Snow-Animation-1.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow-Animation-2.mp4\">Know-Snow-Animation-2.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Know-Snow-intro.mp3\">Know-Snow-intro.mp3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nDo you know&#8230;<br \/>\n(What happened to the snow?)<br \/>\nNo snow<br \/>\n(Know snow)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nThe situation<br \/>\nDue to polar amplification<br \/>\nCausing winter<br \/>\nTo splinter<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nDo you know&#8230;<br \/>\n(What happened to the snow?)<br \/>\nNo snow<br \/>\n(Know snow)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nPolar&#8217;s gone solar<br \/>\nOver amplification<br \/>\n(Manifestation)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nWind&#8217;s meandering<br \/>\n(Humans demanding)<br \/>\nJet stream&#8217;s wandering<br \/>\n(Humans wondering)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nDo you know&#8230;<br \/>\n(What happened to the snow?)<br \/>\nNo snow<br \/>\n(Know snow)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nPolar&#8217;s gone solar<br \/>\nOver amplification<br \/>\n(Manifestation)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nDo you know&#8230;<br \/>\n(What happened to the snow?)<br \/>\nNo snow<br \/>\n(Know snow)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nThe severity of rarity<br \/>\nDo you know&#8230;<br \/>\n(Where did the snow go)<br \/>\nUsed to walk a mile<br \/>\n(Now it&#8217;s summer&#8217;s style)<br \/>\nWarming faster<br \/>\n(Toward disaster)<br \/>\nNo snow<br \/>\n(Know snow)<\/p>\n<p>ABOUT THE SONG AND THE SCIENCE:\u00a0<strong data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"107\">What Happened to the Snow?<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"107\"><br data-start=\"28\" data-end=\"31\" \/>Polar Amplification, Jet Stream Breakdown, and the End of Reliable Winters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"109\" data-end=\"507\">Snowfall across the northern and northeastern United States is undergoing a profound transformation. While occasional snowstorms still occur, the <em data-start=\"255\" data-end=\"266\">structure<\/em> of winter itself is changing\u2014becoming shorter, warmer, wetter, and far less predictable. This is not random variability. It is a direct consequence of anthropogenic climate change and one of its clearest signatures: <strong data-start=\"483\" data-end=\"506\">polar amplification<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"509\" data-end=\"878\">Polar amplification refers to the fact that the Arctic (and increasingly Antarctica) is warming far faster than the global average\u2014now nearly <strong data-start=\"651\" data-end=\"672\">four times faster<\/strong> in the Arctic. This rapid warming is dismantling the temperature gradient between the equator and the poles, a gradient that has governed Earth\u2019s atmospheric and oceanic circulation for thousands of years.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"880\" data-end=\"997\">That gradient once acted as the engine of atmospheric order. Its collapse is ushering in a new era of climatic chaos.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"999\" data-end=\"1002\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"1004\" data-end=\"1063\">How Polar Amplification Destabilizes the Climate System<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1065\" data-end=\"1451\">Under pre-industrial conditions, the sharp contrast between warm tropical air and cold polar air powered a fast, relatively stable <strong data-start=\"1196\" data-end=\"1210\">jet stream<\/strong> and sustained a strong <strong data-start=\"1234\" data-end=\"1288\">Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)<\/strong>. Together, these systems redistributed heat, regulated storm tracks, and maintained seasonal reliability\u2014especially winter cold and snowfall across the Northeast.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1453\" data-end=\"1606\">As polar regions warm and lose ice, that contrast weakens. With less energy driving them, these circulation systems slow, wobble, and increasingly stall.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1608\" data-end=\"1799\">The result is not a simple warming trend, but <strong data-start=\"1654\" data-end=\"1676\">greater volatility<\/strong>: sudden cold snaps embedded within much warmer winters, rain replacing snow, and extreme swings between flood and drought.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1801\" data-end=\"1804\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"1806\" data-end=\"1863\">Two Major Climate Systems Are Crossing Tipping Points<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1865\" data-end=\"1886\"><strong data-start=\"1865\" data-end=\"1886\">1. The Jet Stream<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1888\" data-end=\"2004\">The jet stream is no longer the fast, zonal river of air it once was. Reduced temperature contrast has caused it to:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2006\" data-end=\"2148\">\n<li data-start=\"2006\" data-end=\"2017\">\n<p data-start=\"2008\" data-end=\"2017\">Slow down<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2018\" data-end=\"2045\">\n<p data-start=\"2020\" data-end=\"2045\">Meander more dramatically<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2046\" data-end=\"2091\">\n<p data-start=\"2048\" data-end=\"2091\">Form large north\u2013south loops (Rossby waves)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2092\" data-end=\"2148\">\n<p data-start=\"2094\" data-end=\"2148\">Stall into persistent blocking patterns (omega blocks)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2150\" data-end=\"2378\">When the jet stream stalls, weather stalls with it. Cold air can spill south briefly, while warm air surges north for extended periods. Snow increasingly falls as rain, or arrives in short, intense bursts followed by rapid melt.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2380\" data-end=\"2395\"><strong data-start=\"2380\" data-end=\"2395\">2. The AMOC<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2397\" data-end=\"2666\">Freshwater from melting Arctic ice and Greenland glaciers is disrupting the density-driven sinking of cold, salty water in the North Atlantic\u2014the engine of the AMOC. Observations now show a <strong data-start=\"2587\" data-end=\"2622\">significant long-term weakening<\/strong>, with early indicators of tipping behavior.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2668\" data-end=\"2900\">A weaker AMOC means less heat transport northward and greater atmospheric instability over eastern North America and Europe. Importantly, it also interacts with the jet stream, amplifying weather extremes rather than smoothing them.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"2902\" data-end=\"2905\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"2907\" data-end=\"2974\">Pennsylvania and the Northeast: A Frontline of Climate Whiplash<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2976\" data-end=\"3173\">The northeastern U.S.\u2014including Pennsylvania\u2014now sits beneath the intersection of these destabilized systems. The result is <strong data-start=\"3100\" data-end=\"3120\">climate whiplash<\/strong>: rapid, nonlinear swings that defy historical norms.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3175\" data-end=\"3230\">Recent years, especially 2025, illustrate this clearly:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3232\" data-end=\"3497\">\n<li data-start=\"3232\" data-end=\"3291\">\n<p data-start=\"3234\" data-end=\"3291\">A record-wet spring driven by repeated atmospheric rivers<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3292\" data-end=\"3352\">\n<p data-start=\"3294\" data-end=\"3352\">Rapid transition to drought and heat domes in early summer<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3353\" data-end=\"3419\">\n<p data-start=\"3355\" data-end=\"3419\">Warm autumn conditions punctuated by sudden Arctic air outbreaks<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3420\" data-end=\"3497\">\n<p data-start=\"3422\" data-end=\"3497\">Winters increasingly dominated by rain, ice, or brief snow followed by thaw<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3499\" data-end=\"3610\">These patterns would have been statistically implausible just a few decades ago. They are now becoming routine.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"3612\" data-end=\"3615\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"3617\" data-end=\"3666\">Rossby Waves and the End of \u201cNormal\u201d Snowfall<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3668\" data-end=\"3846\">Rossby waves\u2014the large-scale bends in the jet stream\u2014are growing larger and slower as polar warming intensifies. Their exaggerated loops trap weather systems in place, producing:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3848\" data-end=\"3956\">\n<li data-start=\"3848\" data-end=\"3875\">\n<p data-start=\"3850\" data-end=\"3875\">Prolonged flooding events<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3876\" data-end=\"3899\">\n<p data-start=\"3878\" data-end=\"3899\">Persistent heat domes<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3900\" data-end=\"3916\">\n<p data-start=\"3902\" data-end=\"3916\">Flash droughts<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3917\" data-end=\"3956\">\n<p data-start=\"3919\" data-end=\"3956\">Sudden but short-lived cold outbreaks<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3958\" data-end=\"4203\">Snowfall suffers in this regime. Instead of steady cold conducive to snow accumulation, temperatures hover near freezing, turning snow into rain or sleet and accelerating melt. Snow seasons shrink from both ends, and snowpack becomes unreliable.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4205\" data-end=\"4357\">This is a hallmark of <strong data-start=\"4227\" data-end=\"4261\">nonlinear climate acceleration<\/strong>: gradual background warming pushing the system past thresholds where behavior changes abruptly.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"4359\" data-end=\"4362\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"4364\" data-end=\"4386\">The Bigger Picture<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"4388\" data-end=\"4745\">The disappearance of reliable snow in the Northeast is not a local anomaly\u2014it is a visible symptom of a planet-scale reorganization. Polar amplification is weakening the very circulatory mechanisms that once stabilized Earth\u2019s climate. As those systems destabilize, variability increases, extremes intensify, and the past becomes a poor guide to the future.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4747\" data-end=\"4825\">Winter isn\u2019t simply getting warmer.<br data-start=\"4782\" data-end=\"4785\" \/>It\u2019s becoming <strong data-start=\"4799\" data-end=\"4824\">structurally unstable<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4827\" data-end=\"4966\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">And snow, once a dependable feature of northern life, is becoming another casualty of a climate system pushed beyond its historical bounds.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>*<\/strong> Our <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Chaos-Theory-and-Climate-Change.html\"><b>probabilistic, ensemble-based climate model<\/b><\/a> \u2014 which incorporates <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Social-Ecological-Feedbacks.html\"><b>complex socio-economic and ecological feedback loops<\/b><\/a> within a dynamic, nonlinear system \u2014 projects that <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Systemic-Collapse.html\"><b>global temperatures are becoming unsustainable this century<\/b><\/a>. This far exceeds earlier estimates of a 4\u00b0C rise over the next thousand years, highlighting a dramatic acceleration in global warming. We are now entering <b>a phase of compound, cascading collapse<\/b>, where climate, ecological, and societal systems destabilize through interlinked, self-reinforcing feedback loops.<\/p>\n<p>We examine how human activities \u2014 such as deforestation, fossil fuel combustion, mass consumption, industrial agriculture, and land development \u2014 interact with ecological processes like thermal energy redistribution, carbon cycling, hydrological flow, biodiversity loss, and the spread of disease vectors. These interactions do not follow linear cause-and-effect patterns. Instead, they form complex, self-reinforcing feedback loops that can trigger rapid, system-wide transformations \u2014 often abruptly and without warning. Grasping these dynamics is crucial for accurately assessing global risks and developing effective strategies for long-term survival.<\/p>\n<p> <b>What Can I Do?<\/b><br \/>\nThe single most important action you can take to help address the climate crisis is simple: <b>stop burning fossil fuels<\/b>. <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/go-net-zero.html\">There are numerous actions you can take to contribute to saving the planet.<\/a> Each person bears the responsibility to minimize pollution, discontinue the use of fossil fuels, reduce consumption, and foster a culture of love and care. <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/chaos\/sidd.html\">The Butterfly Effect<\/a> illustrates that a small change in one area can lead to significant alterations in conditions anywhere on the globe. Hence, the frequently heard statement that a fluttering butterfly in China can cause a hurricane in the Atlantic. <b>Be a butterfly and affect the world.<\/b><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Tipping-Points.html\">Tipping points<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/notes\/feedback-loops.html\">feedback loops<\/a> drive the <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Climate-Change-Acceleration-Rate.html\">acceleration of climate change<\/a>. When one tipping point is breached and triggers others, the cascading collapse is known as the <em><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Domino-Effect-Tipping-Points-Toppled.html\">Domino Effect<\/a><\/em>.<\/h3>\n<p><center><b>The Climate Crisis: <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Rain.html\">Violent Rain<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Deadly-Humid-Heat.html\">Deadly Humid Heat<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Health-Collapse.html\">Health Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/extreme-weather-events.html\">Extreme Weather Events<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Insurance-Cost-and-Availability.html\">Insurance Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/trees\/\">Forest Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Soil-and-Climate-Change.html\">Soil Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/sea-level-rising.html\">Rising Sea Level<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Food-and-Water.html\">Food and Water Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/everything.membrane.com\/category\/global-warming-2\/\">Updates<\/a><\/b><\/center><\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/index.html\">The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><strong>From the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/rarity\/\">Rarity<\/a>&#8220;<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Know-Snow.mp3 Know-Snow.mp4 Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp3; Know-Snow-Unplugged-Underground-XXVIII.mp4 Know-Snow-Animation-1.mp4 Know-Snow-Animation-2.mp4 Know-Snow-intro.mp3 [Intro] Do you know&#8230; (What happened to the snow?) No snow (Know snow) [Verse 1] The situation Due to polar amplification Causing winter To splinter [Chorus] Do you know&#8230; (What happened to the snow?) No snow (Know snow) [Bridge] Polar&#8217;s gone solar Over amplification (Manifestation) [Verse 2] Wind&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,14],"tags":[163,4191],"class_list":["post-49348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-daniel","category-lyrics","tag-climate-change","tag-rarity"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49348"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49348\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49372,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49348\/revisions\/49372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}