{"id":49547,"date":"2025-12-22T13:28:59","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T13:28:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=49547"},"modified":"2025-12-22T13:28:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T13:28:59","slug":"tropical","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2025\/12\/22\/tropical\/","title":{"rendered":"Tropical"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Tropical.mp3\">Tropical.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Tropical.mp4\">Tropical.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Tropical-Reggae.mp3\">Tropical-Reggae.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Tropical-Reggae.mp4\">Tropical-Reggae.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Tropical-intro.mp3\">Tropical-intro.mp3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nNot getting off topic<br \/>\n(It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nI headed North<br \/>\nBut it felt South<br \/>\nHear my mouth<br \/>\n(Too much warmth)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nCheck the total<br \/>\nNot getting off topic<br \/>\n(It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nNo room on my island<br \/>\n(For man nor beast)<br \/>\nTime for man to understand<br \/>\n(At the very least)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nThe Great White North<br \/>\nIs lookin&#8217; quite black<br \/>\nSmoldering warmth<br \/>\n(Wildfires attack)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nCheck the total<br \/>\nNot getting off topic<br \/>\n(It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nNo room on my island<br \/>\n(For man nor beast)<br \/>\nTime for man to understand<br \/>\n(At the very least)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nCheck the total<br \/>\n(Sum of the feast)<br \/>\nCan we still<br \/>\n(Pay the bill)<br \/>\nAnd to be nice<br \/>\n(Add a bucket of ice)<br \/>\nNot getting off topic<br \/>\n(It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all)<br \/>\nHere in The Fall<br \/>\nTropical<\/p>\n<p>ABOUT THE SONG AND THE SCIENCE<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Arctic as a Harbinger<\/h2>\n<p>The Arctic is warming far faster than the global average &#8212; ~2-3\u00b0C already, about 3-4 times faster than the planet as a whole. Projections vary:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Low emissions (~1.5-2\u00b0C global):<\/strong> Arctic warms 3-5\u00b0C by 2100.<\/li>\n<li><strong>High emissions (~3-4\u00b0C global):<\/strong> Arctic warms 7-10\u00b0C by 2100, with even higher local spikes.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Worst-case runaway:<\/strong> With reinforcing tipping points (permafrost, albedo collapse, ocean disruption), Arctic warming could exceed <strong>12\u00b0C this century<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Consequences include seasonal ice-free summers by mid-century, permafrost fires releasing CO2 and methane, and destabilization of AMOC, accelerating sea-level rise and global weather extremes.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Humanity&#8217;s Chosen Fate<\/h2>\n<p>The question is not whether Earth will warm &#8212; it is <strong>how fast, how far, and how violently<\/strong> feedbacks will accelerate the process. A 9\u00b0C rise this century may or may not occur, but even &#8220;consensus&#8221; outcomes (~3\u00b0C) would be catastrophic.<\/p>\n<p>The decisive factor is <strong>human action<\/strong>: whether we allow runaway feedbacks to trigger an irreversible &#8220;Hothouse Earth,&#8221; or whether we cut emissions, restore ecosystems, and adapt quickly enough to keep habitable zones intact.<\/p>\n<p><strong>We are not just modeling the future &#8212; we are choosing it.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>*<\/strong> Our <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Chaos-Theory-and-Climate-Change.html\"><b>probabilistic, ensemble-based climate model<\/b><\/a> \u2014 which incorporates <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Social-Ecological-Feedbacks.html\"><b>complex socio-economic and ecological feedback loops<\/b><\/a> within a dynamic, nonlinear system \u2014 projects that global temperatures are becoming unsustainable this century. This far exceeds earlier estimates of a 4\u00b0C rise over the next thousand years, highlighting a dramatic acceleration in global warming. We are now entering <b>a phase of compound, cascading collapse<\/b>, where climate, ecological, and societal systems destabilize through interlinked, self-reinforcing feedback loops.<\/p>\n<p>We examine how human activities \u2014 such as deforestation, fossil fuel combustion, mass consumption, industrial agriculture, and land development \u2014 interact with ecological processes like thermal energy redistribution, carbon cycling, hydrological flow, biodiversity loss, and the spread of disease vectors. These interactions do not follow linear cause-and-effect patterns. Instead, they form complex, self-reinforcing feedback loops that can trigger rapid, system-wide transformations \u2014 often abruptly and without warning. Grasping these dynamics is crucial for accurately assessing global risks and developing effective strategies for long-term survival.<\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Tipping-Points.html\">Tipping points<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/notes\/feedback-loops.html\">feedback loops<\/a> drive the <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Climate-Change-Acceleration-Rate.html\">acceleration of climate change<\/a>. When one tipping point is breached and triggers others, the cascading collapse is known as the <em><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Domino-Effect-Tipping-Points-Toppled.html\">Domino Effect<\/a><\/em>.<\/h3>\n<p><center><b>The Climate Crisis: <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Rain.html\">Violent Rain<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Deadly-Humid-Heat.html\">Deadly Humid Heat<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Health-Collapse.html\">Health Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/extreme-weather-events.html\">Extreme Weather Events<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Insurance-Cost-and-Availability.html\">Insurance<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/trees\/\">Trees and Deforestation<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/sea-level-rising.html\">Rising Sea Level<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Food-and-Water.html\">Food and Water<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/index.html\">The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><\/center><strong>From the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/arctic\/\">Arctic<\/a>&#8220;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Also found on the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/reggae-getaway\/\">Reggae Getaway<\/a>&#8220;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tropical.mp3 Tropical.mp4 Tropical-Reggae.mp3 Tropical-Reggae.mp4 Tropical-intro.mp3 [Intro] Not getting off topic (It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all) [Verse 1] I headed North But it felt South Hear my mouth (Too much warmth) [Bridge] Check the total Not getting off topic (It&#8217;s tropic&#8230; all) [Chorus] No room on my island (For man nor beast) Time for man to understand (At [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,17],"tags":[4194,163,4188],"class_list":["post-49547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-daniel","category-narley-marley-reggae","tag-arctic","tag-climate-change","tag-reggae-getaway"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49547"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49547\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49577,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49547\/revisions\/49577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}