{"id":49552,"date":"2025-12-22T13:33:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T13:33:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/idea.membrane.com\/songwriter\/?p=49552"},"modified":"2025-12-23T13:07:27","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T13:07:27","slug":"skating-on-thin-ice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/2025\/12\/22\/skating-on-thin-ice\/","title":{"rendered":"Skating (On Thin Ice)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp3\">Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp4\">Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp3\">Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp3<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp4\">Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp4<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/kingarthur.com\/MegaEpix-Enormous\/multimedia\/XVIII\/Skating__On-Thin-Ice-intro.mp3\">Skating__On-Thin-Ice-intro.mp3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[Intro]<br \/>\nYou might wanna think twice<br \/>\n(Skating on thin ice)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 1]<br \/>\nJust so you know<br \/>\n(Tiptoe)<br \/>\nVery carefully<br \/>\n(Or you&#8217;ll see)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nQuickly<br \/>\n(How it&#8217;s gonna be)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nYou might wanna think twice<br \/>\n(Skating on thin ice)<br \/>\nGives you a heart attack<br \/>\n(When you hear it crack)<\/p>\n<p>[Verse 2]<br \/>\nIf you won&#8217;t wait<br \/>\nSpread your weight<br \/>\nVery carefully<br \/>\n(Or you&#8217;ll see)<\/p>\n<p>[Bridge]<br \/>\nFrom slippery<br \/>\n(To under the sea)<\/p>\n<p>[Chorus]<br \/>\nYou might wanna think twice<br \/>\n(Skating on thin ice)<br \/>\nGives you a heart attack<br \/>\n(When you hear it crack)<\/p>\n<p>[Outro]<br \/>\nCrack!<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Humanity&#8217;s Chosen Fate<\/h2>\n<p>The question is not whether Earth will warm &#8212; it is <strong>how fast, how far, and how violently<\/strong> feedbacks will accelerate the process. A 9\u00b0C rise this century may or may not occur, but even &#8220;consensus&#8221; outcomes (~3\u00b0C) would be catastrophic.<\/p>\n<p>The decisive factor is <strong>human action<\/strong>: whether we allow runaway feedbacks to trigger an irreversible &#8220;Hothouse Earth,&#8221; or whether we cut emissions, restore ecosystems, and adapt quickly enough to keep habitable zones intact.<\/p>\n<p><strong>We are not just modeling the future &#8212; we are choosing it.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>*<\/strong> Our <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Chaos-Theory-and-Climate-Change.html\"><b>probabilistic, ensemble-based climate model<\/b><\/a> \u2014 which incorporates <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Social-Ecological-Feedbacks.html\"><b>complex socio-economic and ecological feedback loops<\/b><\/a> within a dynamic, nonlinear system \u2014 projects that global temperatures are becoming unsustainable this century. This far exceeds earlier estimates of a 4\u00b0C rise over the next thousand years, highlighting a dramatic acceleration in global warming. We are now entering <b>a phase of compound, cascading collapse<\/b>, where climate, ecological, and societal systems destabilize through interlinked, self-reinforcing feedback loops.<\/p>\n<p>We examine how human activities \u2014 such as deforestation, fossil fuel combustion, mass consumption, industrial agriculture, and land development \u2014 interact with ecological processes like thermal energy redistribution, carbon cycling, hydrological flow, biodiversity loss, and the spread of disease vectors. These interactions do not follow linear cause-and-effect patterns. Instead, they form complex, self-reinforcing feedback loops that can trigger rapid, system-wide transformations \u2014 often abruptly and without warning. Grasping these dynamics is crucial for accurately assessing global risks and developing effective strategies for long-term survival.<\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Tipping-Points.html\">Tipping points<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/notes\/feedback-loops.html\">feedback loops<\/a> drive the <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Climate-Change-Acceleration-Rate.html\">acceleration of climate change<\/a>. When one tipping point is breached and triggers others, the cascading collapse is known as the <em><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Domino-Effect-Tipping-Points-Toppled.html\">Domino Effect<\/a><\/em>.<\/h3>\n<p><center><b>The Climate Crisis: <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Violent-Rain.html\">Violent Rain<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Deadly-Humid-Heat.html\">Deadly Humid Heat<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Health-Collapse.html\">Health Collapse<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/extreme-weather-events.html\">Extreme Weather Events<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Insurance-Cost-and-Availability.html\">Insurance<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/trees\/\">Trees and Deforestation<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/sea-level-rising.html\">Rising Sea Level<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/Food-and-Water.html\">Food and Water<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/membrane.com\/global_warming\/index.html\">The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><\/center><strong>From the album &#8220;<a href=\"\/songwriter\/tag\/arctic\/\">Arctic<\/a>&#8220;<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp3 Skating__On-Thin-Ice-Best-Of.mp4 Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp3 Skating__On-Thin-Ice.mp4 Skating__On-Thin-Ice-intro.mp3 [Intro] You might wanna think twice (Skating on thin ice) [Verse 1] Just so you know (Tiptoe) Very carefully (Or you&#8217;ll see) [Bridge] Quickly (How it&#8217;s gonna be) [Chorus] You might wanna think twice (Skating on thin ice) Gives you a heart attack (When you hear it crack) [Verse 2] [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,14],"tags":[4194,163],"class_list":["post-49552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4d-music","category-daniel","category-lyrics","tag-arctic","tag-climate-change"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49552","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49552"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49552\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49578,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49552\/revisions\/49578"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kingarthur.com\/songwriter\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}