[Intro]
\n[Driving Bass, Piano Ostinato, Organ Swell]
\n[Spoken Vocal]
\nSometimes the question isn’t whether something is growing.
\nThe question is…
\nHow fast is the grow growing?
\n(Yet off we go… without knowing….)<\/p>\n
[Verse 1]
\nBack when the signals first emerged
\nThe changes seemed restrained
\nA little faster every year
\nBut largely unexplained<\/p>\n
The curves were slowly bending
\nThe future looked remote
\nMost assumed the system’s pace
\nWould somehow stay afloat<\/p>\n
[Chorus]
\nOh, the magnitude
\n(Of your attitude)
\nThere’s no latitude
\n(For being rude… crude)
\nDismissing warnings
\n(From the data dude)
\nWhen the evidence grows
\n(In magnitude)<\/p>\n
[Verse 2]
\nThe numbers kept on changing
\nThe curves refused to rest
\nEach decade brought new records
\nSurpassing every test<\/p>\n
What looked like gentle motion
\nBegan to steepen more
\nThe feedbacks found each other
\nAnd opened wider doors<\/p>\n
[Refrain]
\nThe growth constant
\n(Is not)
\n…is not constant
\n(Faster and faster)
\nRiskin’ disaster<\/p>\n
[Chorus]
\nOh, the magnitude
\n(Of your attitude)
\nThere’s no latitude
\n(For being rude… crude)<\/p>\n
[Bridge]
\n[Music Drops to Bass and Piano]
\nThe problem of amplification
\n(Amplification! Amplification!)
\nWhen feedback follows feedback
\n(Feedback, back, back)
\nAnd pathways intertwine
\nTomorrow doesn’t add itself
\nIt multiplies through time<\/p>\n
[Build]
\nFaster…
\n(Than expected)
\nStronger…
\n(Than projected)
\nSteeper…
\n(Than before)
\nOpening another door<\/p>\n
[Refrain]
\nThe growth constant
\n(Is not)
\n…is not constant
\n(Faster and faster)
\nRiskin’ disaster<\/p>\n
Feedback master
\n(Adding pressure)<\/p>\n
[Final Chorus]
\n[Full Band, Choir Harmony]
\nOh, the magnitude
\n(Of your attitude)
\nThere’s no latitude
\n(For being rude… crude)<\/p>\n
Oh, the magnitude
\n(Of what came true)
\nThe future arrived
\n(Faster than we knew)<\/p>\n
[Outro]
\n[Organ Sustain, Guitar Harmonics]
\nThe biggest surprise…
\nMay not be the change itself.
\nBut the speed…
\nOf the change in change.
\nChange… not only coming
\n(Change… already here)
\nHear?
\n[Fade Out]
\nMagnitude…
\nMagnitude…
\nFaster and faster…<\/p>\n
What does that mean?
\nThe Nonlinear Acceleration framework focuses on the rate of acceleration of climate change.<\/p>\n
At the time the hypothesis was first developed in the 1990s, observed acceleration rates were closer to ~2^1-fold per century doubling behavior. More recent analyses across multiple independent datasets suggest much shorter characteristic timescales consistent with stronger feedback amplification of 2^6-fold on a decadal basis.<\/p>\n
* a ~60\u00d7 increase in the effective growth constant
\n* or about two orders of magnitude faster system amplification<\/p>\n
depending on formulation and interpretation.<\/p>\n