[Silence]
[Instrumentation: Guitar, Piano, Organ, Synth, Saxophone, Bass, Percussion, Drums]
[Intro: Guitar Solo]
[Verse 1]
We count the things
(We can replace)
But not the cracks
(Inside the face)
Not the years
(That slip away)
In quieter ways
(Than words can say)
Not just storms
(Or rising seas)
But what it takes
(From you and me)
In doctor visits
(Stress and strain)
In nights awake
(In unseen pain)
[Chorus]
What is your heart
(Worth to you?)
If it won’t start
(What are you gonna do?)
What is your life
(Measured through?)
If it won’t restart
(What price feels true?)
[Verse 2]
They add it up
(In models clean)
Mortality
(And in between)
VSL and years
(Of life delayed)
QALY losses
(On the page)
But underneath
(The cold display)
Are human stories
(Slipping away)
A cough, a fear
(A shortened breath)
A quiet tax
(We call distress)
[Chorus]
What is your heart
(Worth to you?)
If it won’t start
(What are you gonna do?)
What is your time
(Reduced by you?)
If it won’t restart
(What will you choose?)
[Bridge]
It’s not just money
(On a screen)
It’s lived experience
(And what’s unseen)
A welfare tax
(Without a name)
But paid in life
(All the same)
Each degree
(Each rising heat)
A little more
(Of what we forfeit)
Not just systems
(Not just charts)
But worn-down bodies
(And breaking hearts)
[Instrumental]
[Saxophone solo]
[Organ swell]
[Final Chorus]
What is your heart
(Worth to you?)
If it won’t start
(What are you gonna do?)
If life gets shorter
(Than we knew)
What does it cost
(To live it through?)
[Outro]
Each breath
(Has a cost)
Loss of gain
(Gains are lost)
The Welfare Cost of Climate Change in the United States
About the Song
Using a bottom-up framework built around mortality (VSL), life expectancy loss (VSLY), and morbidity/quality-of-life loss (QALY/DALY), the paper estimates that the 2025 U.S. welfare cost of climate change plausibly falls in a range of $350 billion to $900 billion, with a central estimate of roughly $560 billion. On a per-capita basis, that implies an annual burden of approximately $1,650 per person, with a broader plausible range of roughly $1,000 to $2,650 per person.
This is not the full cost of climate change. It excludes many property, infrastructure, insurance, and macroeconomic channels that appear in broader all-in damage estimates. But it captures something those approaches often miss: the direct monetized cost of human harm.
The broader lesson is that climate change is already functioning as a welfare tax on American life. It reduces the quantity of life through premature mortality, reduces the length of life through chronic environmental stress, and reduces the quality of life through illness, disability, anxiety, and recurring exposure to an increasingly unstable climate system. Any serious climate accounting framework that ignores those dimensions will understate the true burden of climate change.
Climate Welfare Accounting Framework: The Welfare Cost of Climate Change in the United States
From the album “Displacement“