Tag: MIDI

LYRICS
Better move over
Getting crowded up here
Late to discover
But it’s coming clearer
Reality sets in
Watchin’ the future dim
Past time to begin
And try again
And try, try, try
Try again

See sea keep rising
Getting deep down there
Shouldn’t be surprising
Yet, caught unaware?
Better move over
Getting crowded up here
Late to discover
But it’s coming clearer
Reality sets in
Watchin’ the future dim
Past time to begin
And try again
And try, try, try
Try again

Can’t understand
What happened to land
We left in the hand…
… the hand of Man
See sea keep rising
Getting deep down there
Shouldn’t be surprising
Yet, caught unaware?
Better move over
Getting crowded up here
Late to discover
But it’s coming clearer
Reality sets in
Watchin’ the future dim
Past time to begin
And try again
And try, try, try
Try again

Chords: Em B7 / C D / D C Em / Em improv.; Part II @ 156 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals (TC-Helicon VOICELIVE and MiniNova Vocorder), Ibanez Acoustic Guitar, Fender Squire Mini Electric Guitar (Boss Digital Delay), Fender Jazz Bass (Boss Digital Delay), Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Yamaha PSR-740, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way.

What do we expect to happen?
The Long Run

We expect sea level rise will total about 270 feet over the next several millennia. In 1998, the State of New Jersey published Sea Level Rise in New Jersey with a depiction of the Statue of Liberty with 270 feet in sea level rise.

In the last melting of the glacial maximum, the first 500 years saw a “pulse” of high rate sea level rise of about 500 years duration resulting in about a 66 foot rise in sea levels.

A high rate of sea-level rise starting at ∼14.5 ka BP of ∼500 y duration. The onset occurs at the start of the Bølling−Allerød warm period. Its duration could be <500 y because of uncertainties in chronology, and the globally averaged rise in sea level of ∼20 m occurs at a rate of ∼40 mm⋅y−1 or greater. This pulse, MWP-1A, has been identified separately in the records of Barbados, Sunda , and Tahiti. Spatial variation in its amplitude can be expected because of the planet’s elastic and gravitational response to rapid unloading of ice in either or both of the two hemispheres with, based on the ice−earth models used here, model-predicted values ranging from ∼14 m for Barbados to ∼20 m for Tahiti. This compares with observational values of ∼15–20 m for Barbados and 12–22 m for Tahiti. Observational uncertainties remain large, including differences in the timing of this event as recorded at the different localities, and it is not possible from this evidence to ascertain the relative importance of the contribution of the two hemispheres to MWP-1A.

We expect to see a similar pattern in the long run.

Our estimate of 270 feet is based on “the safe” elevation to live… high-tide, waves, storm surge, grade of shoreline, etc. would make me want my living space to be at least 270 feet above pre-industrial sea levels. Of course, I don’t expect that to happen for millennia… but, I do hope government planners do plan for it now. If you look at Florida as an example, parts of the coastline have seen sea levels rise over 14-20 feet in the last decade… although it was only for hours, you wouldn’t want to live there during those hours. Not to mention, the frequency of these extreme weather events will rise exponentially. (Thus, our recommendation to evacuate Florida now i.e. Managed Retreat.) The billions of dollars spent to rebuild after Ida will all be for naught. Allowing building there will needlessly endanger property and lives. Parts of the world have already seen storm surges of 40 feet. I expect most North American coastlines will see sea levels rise, if only temporarily, by 20-40 feet this century. As far as long run sea level rise, much will depend on location, gravity, isostatic adjustment, and thermal expansion. If the ocean temperatures get warm enough (thermal expansion), parts of the world may see sea levels rise to 270 feet for long periods of times. Other parts of the world, like Greenland, may actually see sea levels decline. In any event, the Earth crossed tipping points this decade which make extreme sea level rise inevitable and irreversible in our lifetimes. Planners should plan on it.

Sidd reiterated, “That 270 feet will take a long time. I would be more careful about the violent rain than the ice melt.”

— from Sea Level Rise: Then and Now / Mukherjee and Brouse (2023)

— The Song: Violent Rain

What Can I Do?
There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet. Stop using fossil fuels. Consume less. Love more. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

LYRICS
Are you feeling kind-of low
Is it cause you just don’t know
Which way the wind will blow
Ohhh.. Whoa woe… Oh, no
You can hang your head
Live in dread
Or rise above instead
Let’s rise above
Spread the love
Before we wake-up dead

Are you moving kind-of slow
As if you just don’t know
Which way that you should go
Ohhh.. Whoa woe… Oh, no
You can hang your head
Live in dread
Or rise above instead
Let’s rise above
Spread the love
Before we wake-up dead

Are you tired of the show
Talking heads blow-by-blow
Surely people come to know
Ohhh.. Whoa woe… Oh, no
You can hang your head
Live in dread
Or rise above instead
Let’s rise above
Spread the love
Before we wake-up dead

Are you feeling death’s blow
All your friends had to go
As you cry out, “No! No! No!”
Ohhh.. Whoa woe… Oh, no
You can hang your head
Live in dread
Or rise above instead
Let’s rise above
Spread the love
Before we wake-up dead

• Instead Part I.mp3
• Instead Part II.mp3
• Instead Part II Instrumental.mp3
• Instead Casio WK-3500.MID

Chords: E slide to F / F slide to E / A7 C / C E; Part II @ 102 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals (TC-Helicon VOICELIVE and MiniNova Vocorder), Ibanez Acoustic Guitar, Fender Squire Mini Electric Guitar (Vox Sound Lab and Boss Digital Delay), Fender Jazz Bass (Boss Digital Delay), Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Yamaha PSR-740, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

Global warming has caused irreparable damage to our environment. Almost all scientists agree that IN FACT climate change is a problem. Our planet is becoming unfit for human life. Now the question is can we adapt in time? (1999)

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way. From 1992 through 2023, we presented evidence and suggested remedies to mitigate climate change. By 2023, the data was undeniable that human induced climate change is destroying our habitat at a rapidly increasing rate.

By 2024, at least five Tipping points had been crossed:

• Mountain Glacier Loss
• Greenland Ice Sheet Collapse
• Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse
• Collapse of AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation)
• Northern Permafrost Collapse

Humans have caused these events to be inevitable; however, it is the “unknown” that frightens most people. Instead, now that you know you can prepare.

What will the “End of Times” look like?

“The era of global warming has ended and the era of ‘global boiling’ has arrived. Climate change is here. It is terrifying. And it is just the beginning”, UN secretary general, António Guterres, said after scientists confirmed July 2023 was on track to be the world’s hottest month on record.

In the 1990’s, we wrote a paper on the worst-case scenario entitled, “The Impact of Governance & Globalization on Forecasting (The Tunnel Under Thesis).” The theory predicted that forecasting would become increasingly difficult. “The result — a figurative, as well as, literal tunneling underground.”

Since that time, forecasting has become increasing more difficult. “In general, as energy is added to a system, the fluctuations in the system increase. So, we expect more storms, more droughts, more wildfires, more floods, more fluctuations of all kinds. What we are saying is that weather conditions will become more volatile due to the impact of humans,” said Mukherjee and Brouse. (2004)

In a report published in Nature entitled Over half of known human pathogenic diseases can be aggravated by climate change, data analyst and associate professor in the Department of Geography and Environment at the University of Hawaii Manoa, Camilo Mora, said climate hazards aggravated 58% of all known human pathogens. That is over half of infectious diseases discovered since the end of the Roman Empire. 58% of an authoritative list of infectious diseases documented to have impacted humanity have already been shown to be aggravated by climatic hazards — a finding the researchers found “shocking,” Mora said.

Movement of people and animals caused by climate is one factor. Warming at higher latitudes allowed vectors and pathogens to survive winter is another factor. The report goes on to say, “The human pathogenic diseases and transmission pathways aggravated by climatic hazards are too numerous for comprehensive societal adaptations, highlighting the urgent need to work at the source of the problem: reducing GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions.”

This research reveals more evidence that humans will have difficulty adapting to climate change, especially those in developing countries, Mora said. “The magnitude of the vulnerability when you think about one or two diseases — okay, sure, we can deal with that,” he said. “But when you’re talking about 58% of the diseases, and 58% of those diseases can be affected or triggered in 1,000 different ways. So that, to me, was also revealing of the fact that we’re not going to be able to adapt to climate change.”

In 2023, we wrote about having crossed tipping points in the paper, “Climate Change: How Long Is ‘Ever’?“. When we wrote the Tunnel Under Thesis in 1995, we forecast crossing these tipping points would not happen for centuries. We underestimated Man’s ignorance and arrogance. Fossil fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions have continued to set record highs. Humans have caused chain-reactions resulting in toppled tipping points, feedback loops, and The Domino Effect.

— from Climate Change: The End of Times / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What Can I Do?
There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet. Stop using fossil fuels. Consume less. Love more. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

LYRICS
Whipping wind
Agin the skin
Again and again, again, again
Patience wearing thin
Where to begin
How ’bout the start?
Try wearing a grin
There to laughin’
Straight from the heart
From my mouth these words depart:
We’re killin’ me
From the rising sea
To the unfair air
Cannot stop the hot
I’m beggin’… why not?

Pounding rain
Agin the brain
Sustain the pain, sustain, sustain
Patience wearing thin
Where to begin
How ’bout the start?
Try wearing a grin
There to laughin’
Straight from the heart
From my mouth these words depart:
We’re killin’ me
From the rising sea
To the unfair air
Cannot stop the hot
I’m beggin’… why not?

Surging flood
Mixed with blood
Up to the neck in mud
Patience wearing thin
Where to begin
How ’bout the start?
Try wearing a grin
There to laughin’
Straight from the heart
From my mouth these words depart:
We’re killin’ me
From the rising sea
To the unfair air
Cannot stop the hot
I’m beggin’… why not?

• How-About-the-Start-Part-I.mp3 (unplugged to save energy)
• How-About-the-Start-Part-II.mp3
• How-About-the-Start-Part-II-Instrumental.mp3
• How-About-the-Start-Casio.MID

Chords: C Dm Em / Am C Em / G Dm Em / C Dm Em; Part II @ 132 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals (TC-Helicon VOICELIVE and MiniNova Vocorder), Ibanez Acoustic Guitar, Fender Squire Mini Electric Guitar (Boss Digital Delay), Fender Jazz Bass (Boss Digital Delay), Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Yamaha PSR-740, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

In the two weeks leading up to Christmas 2023, the East Coast had two extreme weather events caused by unprecedented winter atmospheric rivers.

In October of 2023 Sidd said, “Now I am thinking the violent rain will be a bigger problem before we die….”

East Coast Atmospheric Rivers
Historically in the United States, atmospheric rivers (AR) have been associated with the West Coast. Now, AR activity is getting more attention on the East Coast. “Actually, their frequency is not really increasing. Meteorologists have used the term for decades. It has simply become popular by the media. Just like polar vortex,” said Jeff Boyne, National Weather Service meteorologist and climatologist. Indeed, “atmospheric rivers are more frequent on the East Coast than they are on the West Coast,” said Jason Cordeira, associate professor of meteorology at Plymouth State University. “They’re just not as impactful and don’t usually produce as much rainfall.”

What is changing is the research into the types and increasing intensity of East Coast AR events. “Between 1958 and 2012, the Northeast saw more than a 70% increase in the amount of rainfall measured during heavy precipitation events, more than in any other region in the United States. Projections indicate continuing increases in precipitation, especially in winter and spring and in northern parts of the region,” as reported in The US Fourth National Climate Assessment.

Most types of East Coast ARs are increasing in intensity likely due to climate change. The study Identifying Eastern US Atmospheric River Types and Evaluating Historical Trends reports, “The impact of increasing moisture transport could be significant across the northeast corridor from Washington D.C. to Coastal Maine, as it increases the risk of extreme precipitation from landfalling ARs. The results indicate most ARs in the study domain are forced by extratropical cyclones, with lee side low pressure systems and coastal lows along the Atlantic Coast (e.g. nor’easters) responsible for producing the strongest ARs.”

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way.

What Can I Do?
There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet. Stop using fossil fuels. Consume less. Love more. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment