Category: 4D Music

bookmark_borderOur Voice by Choice

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[Verse 1]
The citizens cast their vote
(Humanity’s held remote)
They holler with their dollar
(Vanity is to gloat)

[Break]
The predicament
Of less permanent
[Bridge]
Apparent

[Chorus]
Politicians we choose
To be our voice
If we cruise to lose
It’s by choice

[Verse 2]
The citizens cast their vote
(Insanity takes note)
They holler with their dollar
(Vanity floats the boat)

[Break]
The predicament
Of less permanent
[Bridge]
Apparent

[Chorus]
Politicians we choose
To be our voice
If we cruise to lose
It’s by choice

[Bridge]
The predicament
Of less permanent
Apparent
(Our voice)
(By choice)

[Outro
Our voice
By choice

A SCIENCE NOTE
The U.S. is among the least prepared nations, with the highest percentage of climate deniers. Political inaction exacerbates the problem, particularly as the Republican Party often dismisses climate change as a fabricated issue while advocating for increased fossil fuel production. Ironically, human industrial activities are a primary cause of climate change. Despite some progress under President Biden, the U.S. remains the world’s largest producer of oil and gas, with both major political parties favoring emergency disaster funding over proactive climate prevention measures.

In 2023, the U.S. experienced 28 major weather and climate-related disasters, each costing over a billion dollars. These events included hurricanes, wildfires, severe storms, and flooding, some causing economic damages of hundreds of billions of dollars. Compounding these challenges, in June 2024, the Supreme Court significantly curtailed the Environmental Protection Agency’s authority, limiting its ability to regulate emissions and enforce environmental standards — a severe blow to decades of progress.

The government’s actions reveal a troubling mix of ignorance and indifference, turning what were once “worst-case” climate predictions into our current “best-case” scenarios. Updated climate models, now incorporating social-ecological factors, project that global temperatures could rise by as much as 9°C within this century — a drastic increase compared to previous estimates of a 4°C rise over the next millennium. Such extreme warming could push the planet toward a critical “wet-bulb” temperature threshold, where heat and humidity exceed the human body’s capacity to cool itself, posing severe and potentially lethal health risks. The need for decisive and immediate action has never been more urgent as climate change continues to spiral beyond control.

Unfortunately, that’s the reality. The root of the problem lies with us — the people. Government officials simply reflect our choices. Until consumer demands become more socially responsible, we’ll continue to get exactly what we want — and deserve. Each person bears the responsibility to minimize pollution, discontinue the use of fossil fuels, reduce consumption, and foster a culture of love and care. Only then can we drive the collective action needed to address the climate crisis and build a sustainable future.

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9℃ above pre-industrial levels.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderViolent Rain Drain

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[Intro]
We present: Violent
(Rain drain)
Rain drain
(Plain to see)
[Break]
Draining reality

[Verse 1]
It was dry (So dry)
I couldn’t cry (No, no cry)
Could forget how wet
It could get

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
(Increased) Volatility
(Increased) Frequency
You’re about to see
Draining reality

[Verse 2]
No rain for weeks (low n’ weak)
So dry couldn’t speak (too weak)
Could forget how wet
It could get

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
(Increased) Volatility
(Increased) Frequency
You’re about to see
Draining reality

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
We represent: Violent
(Rain drain)
Rain drain
(Plain to see)
Draining reality

[Outro]
Draining reality
Right in front of me

A SCIENCE NOTE
Humans will experience greater loss and damage to life and quality of life from air pollution, decreasing supply of potable water, extreme weather events, disease, and other adverse health outcomes. The greatest short term climate change risk to human health is deadly humid heat (wet-bulb temperature). The greatest damage to the your habitat is violent rain.

In September of 2024, I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought.”

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderAnd Her Next of Kin

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[Intro]
Grandma
(And her next of kin)
Stigma
(Is blowin’ in)
Better get goin’
On our way

[Verse 1]
They say
The storm brewing
Is headin’ this way
O.K.?
(It’s headed this way)
[Bridge]
Today
Is Ohhhhhh!
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Verse 2]
Touche
The storm’s threwing
Caused dismay
O.K.
(The price you pay)
[Bridge]
Today
Is Ohhhhhh!
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Outro]
Today is…
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Climate change and the increased frequency and intensity of rainstorms can be understood through the lens of chaos theory due to the highly sensitive and interconnected nature of the Earth’s climate system.

Chaos theory deals with systems that are highly sensitive to initial conditions, meaning small changes in one part of the system can lead to large and often unpredictable effects elsewhere. This concept is also known as the butterfly effect, where minor disturbances can lead to significant, non-linear outcomes over time.

Here’s how chaos theory relates to climate change and rainstorms:

1. Small Changes Amplified

The Earth’s climate is a chaotic system, meaning that slight alterations in atmospheric conditions, such as increases in greenhouse gases, can trigger complex and far-reaching effects. Even minor increases in carbon dioxide or methane, caused by human activities, can alter global temperatures, humidity levels, and the distribution of energy across the planet.

2. Non-linear Responses

In chaotic systems, the response to a change isn’t always proportional. A small increase in global temperature can result in disproportionately large impacts, such as more intense and frequent storms. Warmer air holds more moisture, leading to heavier rainfall. This relationship between temperature and rainfall is not linear, meaning that slight increases in temperature can result in significantly more rainfall during storms.

3. Unpredictability of Storm Patterns

Climate change has made weather patterns less predictable, which is a hallmark of chaotic systems. As the climate warms, it disrupts traditional patterns of rainfall, sometimes leading to unexpected or extreme storm events in areas that might not have experienced them before. This unpredictability is a result of the sensitivity of the climate system to small, cumulative changes in temperature and atmospheric composition.

4. Feedback Loops

Chaos theory also highlights the role of feedback loops, where initial changes reinforce themselves. For example, warming oceans lead to more evaporation, which fuels storms, and these storms can cause further warming by trapping heat. These feedback mechanisms can amplify the effects of climate change, making weather patterns even more erratic and intense.

5. Tipping Points

Chaotic systems often reach tipping points—critical thresholds beyond which small changes can result in dramatic and irreversible shifts. In the context of climate change, this could mean a point where weather patterns become so destabilized that they lead to a continuous cycle of extreme rainfall, flooding, and other unpredictable weather events.

By viewing the relationship between climate change and storm intensity through chaos theory, it becomes clear that the complex interplay of atmospheric factors makes the outcomes difficult to predict and control, even if we understand the contributing variables. This chaotic nature amplifies the risks and impacts of global climate shifts.

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderUnintended Consequences

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[Verse 1]
Ozone zone (moan)
For sure sulfur (suffer)
Our behavior
We’re the anti-savior

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Bridge]
Man, man sure can
Did and does until was
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

[Verse 2]
Methane gain (insane)
You know Albedo? (can’t let go)
Our behavior
We’re the anti-savior

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Bridge]
Man, man sure can
Did and does until was
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Outro]
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

A SCIENCE NOTE

Climate change is primarily driven by the escalation of thermal energy affecting biogeophysical and socio-economic systems. While biogeophysical factors can be studied using math, physics, and historical records, socio-economic systems pose greater challenges due to the unpredictable consequences of human behavior and inexplicable consumer choices.

Some unintended consequences contributing to climate change include:

  1. Ozone and the Biofuel Paradox: One of the more troubling contributors to tropospheric ozone is the increased use of ethanol in gasoline. Over the past few years, ethanol has become a mandated additive to gasoline blends, touted as a cleaner alternative to traditional fossil fuels. For example, in Pennsylvania, a 10% ethanol blend in gasoline and a 30% ethanol blend in diesel fuel are required to reduce harmful emissions. However, this practice has resulted in unintended consequences — specifically, the creation of more ozone. A 2024 study found that human-derived ozone has caused a significant decline in net primary productivity (NPP) across all tropical forests, resulting in an estimated 17% reduction in the tropical land carbon sink since 2000.
  2. Increased Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions: Switching to cleaner fuels with lower sulfur content can inadvertently lead to higher CO2 emissions. For example, marine vessels burning cleaner fuels may emit more CO2, a potent greenhouse gas, contributing to global warming and climate change.
  3. Deforestation for Biofuel Production: The use of biofuels as an alternative to fossil fuels can lead to deforestation as forests are cleared to make way for biofuel crops. Deforestation releases stored carbon into the atmosphere, exacerbating climate change.
  4. Land Use Change: Converting land for agricultural or urban development alters natural ecosystems, releasing stored carbon into the atmosphere. This change in land use can contribute to climate change by reducing the planet’s capacity to absorb carbon dioxide.
  5. Methane Leakage from Natural Gas Production: Natural gas is often touted as a cleaner alternative to coal; however, methane, a potent greenhouse gas, can leak during natural gas extraction, processing, and transportation. Methane emissions contribute to global warming and climate change.
  6. Albedo Effect from Land Use Change: Changes in land cover, such as deforestation or urbanization, can alter the Earth’s albedo, or its ability to reflect sunlight. Darker surfaces absorb more heat, leading to increased warming. For example, replacing forests with urban areas can decrease albedo, contributing to local and regional warming.
  7. Feedback Loops: Climate change can trigger feedback loops that further exacerbate warming. For example, melting ice caps reduce the Earth’s albedo, leading to more heat absorption and further melting. Similarly, thawing permafrost releases stored methane and carbon dioxide, amplifying greenhouse gas emissions.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderWild! (Fire!)

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[Intro]
Wild! (Fire!)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Verse 1]
Exhaust won’t tire
It just keeps going higher
Watch the winds blow
Catch it… don’t let it go….

[Chorus]
Wild! (Fire!)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Verse 2]
No such thing as a
Pollution dilution solution
Just accumulates and exacerbates
At increasing rates

[Chorus]
Wild (fire)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Chorus]
Wild (fire)
Transpire
Glowing attire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Outro]
Watch it grow higher
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

A SCIENCE NOTE
I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought.”

A report by the USDA and the U.S. Forest Service found that the risk of wildfires has been drastically underestimated. The updated model concluded that wildfires pose a high risk to one-third of all U.S. residents and buildings. “We’re more accurately reflecting climate changes that we’ve seen in the last few years,” said Kelly Pohl, associate director at the nonprofit Headwaters Economics, which released the findings with the Forest Service.

A combination of factors creates  feedback loops, where more intense and frequent wildfires release large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, contributing to further climate change. This cycle reinforces the importance of addressing both the causes and consequences of climate change to mitigate the impact on wildfire risk. While the beautiful sunsets during forest fires create captivating visuals, it’s essential to recognize the environmental and health impacts associated with wildfires. Wildfires can cause significant damage to ecosystems, contribute to air pollution, and pose risks to human health. The mesmerizing sunsets are a visible reminder of the interconnectedness of atmospheric processes and the far-reaching effects of natural events like wildfires.

In addition to the carbon feedback loop (the carbon emissions of Canada’s fires outweighed the combined emissions from its oil and gas, transport and agriculture sectors), the fires also cause the melting of the permafrost and zombie fires to burn in the permafrost. The permafrost collapse is a self-sustaining feedback loop/tipping point. As the permafrost melts, the peatlands emit CO2 and methane. The increase in CO2 and methane results in more warming that results in more peatland emissions. A third feedback loop is created with lightning strikes. The study Forests at Risk Due to Lightning Fires found a sensitivity of extratropical intact forests to potential increases in lightning fires, which would have far-reaching consequences for terrestrial carbon storage and biodiversity. The results show that, on a global scale, lightning is the primary ignition source of fires in temperate and boreal forests. Global warming causes more extreme weather events and conditions for lightning creating more forest fires that create more warming and more lightning strikes.

The study Wildfire as a major driver of recent permafrost thaw in boreal peatlands published in the Journal Nature Communications found wildfires have caused a quarter of permafrost thaw (2,000 square kilometres) in Western Canada’s boreal peatlands over the past 30 years. “Historically, permafrost in this area underwent a natural cycle of thawing and reforming, but given current climate conditions and projections for the future, this fire-induced thaw appears to be irreversible,” said Carolyn Gibson, who conducted the research.

On January 1, 2024, the article, Why Are Alaska’s Rivers Turning Orange?, was published in Scientific America. “Streams in Alaska are turning orange with iron and sulfuric acid. Scientists who have studied these rusting rivers agree that the ultimate cause is climate change. Kobuk Valley National Park has warmed by 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.32 degrees Fahrenheit) since 2006 and could get another 10.2 degrees C hotter by 2100, a greater increase than projected for any other national park. The heat may already have begun to thaw 40 percent of the park’s permafrost, the layer of earth just under the topsoil that normally remains frozen year-round. McPhee wanted to protect the Salmon River because humans had ‘not yet begun to change it.’ Now, less than 50 years later, we have done just that. The last great wilderness in America, which by law is supposed to be ‘untrammeled by man,’ is being trammeled from afar by our global emissions.”

NASA reported: Wildland fire experts have described Canada’s 2023 fire season as record-breaking and shocking. Over the course of a fire season that started early and ended late, blazes have burned an estimated 18.4 million hectares. Hundreds of fires exceeded 10,000 hectares (39 square miles), large enough to be considered “megafires.” These megafires were also unusually widespread this season, charring forests from British Columbia and Alberta in the west to Quebec and the Atlantic provinces in the east to the Northwest Territories and the Yukon in the north.

Though the rate of change in climate disasters’ intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a “rule-of-thumb” can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, “Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec’s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur.”

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderTurn on the Atmosphere

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[Intro]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
Did we turn on the fear
And, don’t know why

[Verse 1]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
None of it’s clear
And, who knows why?

[Bridge]
[Instrumental, Guitar Solo]
The things we do
Come back to bite, too

[Chorus]
The reason isn’t clear
Made it do or die
Brought far to near
Let out a cry (sigh)

[Verse 2]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
Forgot those dear
Didn’t even try

[Bridge]
The things we do (we do)
Come back to bite, too (me n’ you)

[Chorus]
The reason isn’t clear
Made it do or die
Brought far to near
Let out a cry (sigh)

[Bridge]
[Instrumental, Bass Solo]
The things we do (we do)
Come back to bite, too (comes true)
Are we through (I ask you)
What shall we do (do due)

[Outro]
The reason isn’t clear
(Brought far to near)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Our climate model employs chaos theory to assess human impacts. Global warming is driven by increased thermal energy within the climate system, a complex web of interconnected subsystems. Previous models often failed to account for “social-ecological systems,” where human activity significantly alters climate dynamics.

Global warming is caused by an increase in thermal energy in the climate system. The Earth is a climate system. Many subsystems make up our climate. Chaos theory emphasizes the complexity and nonlinearity of dynamic systems, and this complexity is inherent in the interactions between soil, atmosphere, and oceans in the Earth’s climate system.

Atmospheric circulation together with ocean circulation is how thermal energy is redistributed throughout the world. Chaos theory offers insights into the complex, nonlinear dynamics of climate systems role in the redistribution of thermal energy. The Earth’s climate is a highly complex and dynamic system, influenced by various factors such as ocean currents, atmospheric circulation, and feedback loops.

General Circulation Models for the earth climate are nonlinear and teleconnected. That means a small change in temperature or pressure or humidity in one small area on the globe can cause _large_ changes in conditions _anywhere_ on the globe. This is sometimes called the Butterfly effect. The complexity of these models can lead to chaotic behaviour. Climate science must grapple with these models and extract results in spite of the mathematical difficulties, and there have been remarkable successes in some cases and sad failures in others. Nevertheless we must proceed.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderMother’s Calling

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[Intro]
Henry! (come to me)
Henry (it’s come to be)

[Verse 1]
Ashes are falling from the sky
After becoming too dry
Then wouldn’t you know
The water starts to flow

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Verse 2]
Ashes are falling, you know why
Enough to make you cry
Followed by a flow
With nowhere to go

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Outro]
Henry! (come to me)
Henry (it’s come to be)

A SCIENCE NOTE
I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought. We were considering buying land in the wooded areas of southeast Ohio, but now we’re reconsidering.”

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_border(The End) of the Line

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[Intro]
Ticking time-bomb
Countdown
Better call your mom
Look around

[Verse 1]
Who knows
We stacked the dominoes
There goes
Discover… knocking over

[Bridge]
[Instrumental]
Cascading
Escalating

[Chorus]
Have we come to
(As in regain consciousness)
Or have we come to
(The end of the line)
Awareness
Of our place in time

[Verse 2]
We know
Knocking over the domino
There we go
Falling down in a row

[Bridge]
[Instrumental]
Cascading
Escalating

[Chorus]
Have we come to
(As in regain consciousness)
Or have we come to
(The end of the line)
Awareness
Of our place in time

[Bridge]
Ticking time-bomb
Countdown
Better call your mom
Look around
Cascading
Escalating

[Outro]
Have we come to…
Come to the end of the line

A SCIENCE NOTE
A September 2024 report published in the journal Science concluded that a 9-day seismic event in September 2023 was triggered by the collapse of a Greenland glacier and mountain, resulting in a 200-meter tsunami. The initial shockwaves traveled from the Arctic to Antarctica within an hour. Trapped in a fjord, the tsunami generated recurring 90-second seismic events as the wave repeatedly bounced between the fjord’s walls.

Tipped Tipping Points, Feedback Loops, and the Domino Effect
Tipping points are Critical Milestones that directly impact the rate of acceleration in climate change by multiplying the number and intensity of feedback loops. Identifying and understanding these tipping points is crucial for climate science and policymaking. Crossing multiple tipping points has led to the domino effect, resulting in a much more rapid and severe climate change than currently projected.

Push a glass toward the edge of a table and eventually it will fall off on its own. No matter how slowly or meticulously you push… no matter how you weight or fill the glass, it will reach a tipping point and fall off before being pushed completely off the table. No matter whether you believe the glass is half-empty or half-full, when the tipping point is reached it will plummet out-of-control to its end. This is science not fate, faith, nor belief. Human induced climate change has resulted in environmental tipping points being breached.

Tipping points, when crossed, trigger self-sustaining feedback loops that are no longer dependent on human activity. Similar to when a domino topples over hitting two more dominoes that in turn fall hitting more dominoes. Thus, the name The Domino Effect. It can also be visualized as The Snowball Effect. A tipping point is like a snowball rolling down a hill growing in mass and velocity (momentum). When a tipping point is crossed, it results in cumulative and reinforced global warming.

9 Climate Change Tipping Points Crossed
At least nine tipping points have been crossed. The first dominoes have fallen and will continue to knock down more tiles with each escalating step. The crossing of these nine climate tipping points represents a critical threshold in the Earth’s climate system, with potentially irreversible consequences for global ecosystems and human societies:

 

  • Greenland Ice Sheet Collapse: The melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet has accelerated in recent years, leading to increased rates of ice loss and sea level rise. As glaciers retreat and ice shelves collapse, vast quantities of freshwater enter the ocean, disrupting marine ecosystems and contributing to global sea level rise.
  • West Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse: Similar to Greenland, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is experiencing rapid melting and destabilization. The collapse of this ice sheet has the potential to raise sea levels by several meters, inundating coastal areas and triggering widespread impacts on infrastructure, agriculture, and human populations.
  • Labrador-Irminger Seas/SPG Convection Collapse: The collapse of convection in the Labrador-Irminger Seas, part of the North Atlantic Ocean, could disrupt the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). This circulation pattern plays a crucial role in regulating global climate and ocean circulation, influencing weather patterns and heat distribution worldwide.
  • East Antarctic Subglacial Basins Collapse: The East Antarctic Ice Sheet contains vast quantities of ice, much of which is grounded below sea level. The collapse of subglacial basins in East Antarctica could lead to rapid ice loss and contribute to sea level rise, with potentially far-reaching consequences for coastal regions and global climate stability.
  • Arctic Winter Sea Ice Collapse: Arctic sea ice has been declining rapidly in extent and thickness due to rising temperatures. The loss of winter sea ice in the Arctic not only accelerates regional warming but also affects global weather patterns, ocean circulation, and biodiversity in the Arctic ecosystem.
  • East Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse: While traditionally considered more stable than its western counterpart, the East Antarctic Ice Sheet is also vulnerable to collapse under continued warming. The disintegration of ice shelves and glaciers in East Antarctica could significantly contribute to sea level rise and alter ocean circulation patterns.
  • Amazon Rainforest Dieback: Deforestation, drought, and climate change threaten the resilience of the Amazon Rainforest, the world’s largest tropical rainforest. The dieback of the Amazon could result in decreased rainfall, increased carbon emissions, and loss of biodiversity, impacting regional and global climate systems.
  • Boreal Permafrost Collapse: Permafrost in the northern regions of the globe contains vast stores of carbon in the form of frozen organic matter. As permafrost thaws due to rising temperatures, it releases greenhouse gases such as methane and carbon dioxide, further exacerbating climate change and creating a feedback loop of increased warming.
  • Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Collapse: The collapse of the AMOC, driven by changes in ocean temperature and salinity, could have profound consequences for global climate stability. Disruption of this circulation pattern could lead to abrupt shifts in weather patterns, including changes in temperature, precipitation, and ocean currents, with far-reaching impacts on ecosystems and human societies.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The End “Of the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderHearts Remind

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[Intro]
It’s not too late
(No, don’t wait)
Don’t hesitate
To bring out the love
(Love love)

[Verse 1]
Forget the hate
(Leave it behind)
Feeling great
(Hearts remind)

[Chorus]
It’s not too late
(No, don’t wait)
Don’t hesitate
To bring out the love
(Love love)

[Bridge]
What the world
Needs today
To behold
A better way
(Bring out the love)
Love love

[Verse 2]
Say ‘late’ to hate
(Let it go)
Cooperate
(Come to know)

[Chorus]
It’s not too late
(No, don’t wait)
Don’t hesitate
To bring out the love
(Love love)

[Bridge]
What the world
Needs today
To behold
A better way
(Bring out the love)
Love love

[Chorus]
It’s not too late
(No, don’t wait)
Don’t hesitate
To bring out the love
(Love love)

[Outro]
Love love
(Bring out the love)
Love love

A SCIENCE NOTE
Our climate model utilizes chaos theory in an attempt to adequately account for humans and forecasts a global average temperature increase of 9℃ above pre-industrial levels. The Butterfly Effect illustrates that a small change in one area can lead to significant alterations in conditions anywhere on the globe. Hence, the frequently heard statement that a fluttering butterfly in China can cause a hurricane in the Atlantic. Be a butterfly and affect the world.

The government’s actions, or lack thereof, represent their constituents’ hate and ignorance, leading to a situation where “worst-case” predictions for climate change have become the “best-case” expectations. The ramifications of these decisions are dire, prompting a revision of climate models to reflect a much grimmer outlook. The new projections indicate a potential maximum global temperature increase of 9°C within this century, a stark rise from the previously estimated 4°C over the next millennium.

What Can I Do? There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet: stop using fossil fuels, consume less, and love more.

Love has the transformative power to save the world in numerous ways:

  1. Fostering Connection and Unity: Love brings people together, transcending boundaries of race, religion, nationality, and ideology. By fostering a sense of empathy, compassion, and understanding, love promotes unity and solidarity among diverse individuals and communities. When people come together in love, they can work collaboratively to address shared challenges and create positive change on a global scale.
  2. Promoting Peace and Harmony: Love is the antidote to hatred, conflict, and violence. By promoting forgiveness, reconciliation, and mutual respect, love can help heal deep-seated divisions and promote peace and harmony within and between societies. When individuals and nations choose love over fear and hostility, they pave the way for peaceful coexistence and cooperation.
  3. Inspiring Empathy and Altruism: Love cultivates a sense of empathy and concern for the well-being of others. When individuals act out of love, they are motivated to alleviate suffering, promote justice, and advance the common good. Love inspires acts of kindness, generosity, and selflessness, creating a ripple effect of positive change that spreads throughout communities and across borders.
  4. Protecting the Environment: Love for the natural world motivates individuals to protect and preserve the planet for future generations. When people recognize their interconnectedness with all living beings and the delicate balance of ecosystems, they are inspired to adopt sustainable lifestyles, promote conservation efforts, and advocate for environmental stewardship. Love for the Earth compels us to take action to address climate change, protect biodiversity, and ensure a healthy and sustainable future for all.
  5. Empowering Social Justice: Love is inherently egalitarian, valuing the inherent worth and dignity of every individual. When people act out of love, they are committed to promoting social justice, equality, and human rights for all. Love drives efforts to dismantle systems of oppression, combat discrimination, and create inclusive societies where everyone has the opportunity to thrive. By standing up for justice and advocating for marginalized communities, love can help create a more just and equitable world for future generations.

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the album “With It” by The Beatless Sense Mongers and the album “Dreadnots” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderCascading (Escalating)

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[Intro]
Cascading
(Escalating)
Navigating
(Negating)

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Bass, Percussion, Drum Fills]

[Verse]
Of course
Off course
Diverse it E (mergency)
Disparity

[Bridge]
Cascading
(Escalating)
Navigating
(Negating)

[Chorus]
Are we starting to see
(Our man-made destiny)
Have we come to be
(Our disparity)
[Break]
[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Bass Solo, Drum Fills]
Look into me
(I’ll look into you, too)
What do you see
(Is there any humanity)
[Break]
God, help me
(cause these humans ain’t humane)

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Bass, Percussion, Drum Fills]

[Verse]
Of course
Off course
Diverse it E (mergency)
Disparity

[Bridge]
Cascading
(Escalating)
Navigating
(Negating)

[Chorus]
Are we starting to see
(Our man-made destiny)
Have we come to be
(Our disparity)

[Outro]
[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Bass Solo, Drum Fills]
Look into me
(I’ll look into you, too)
What do you see
(Is there any humanity)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Tipping points are Critical Milestones that directly impact the rate of acceleration in climate change by multiplying the number and intensity of feedback loops. Identifying and understanding these tipping points is crucial for climate science and policymaking. Crossing multiple tipping points has led to the domino effect, resulting in a much more rapid and severe climate change than currently projected.

Push a glass toward the edge of a table and eventually it will fall off on its own. No matter how slowly or meticulously you push… no matter how you weight or fill the glass, it will reach a tipping point and fall off before being pushed completely off the table. No matter whether you believe the glass is half-empty or half-full, when the tipping point is reached it will plummet out-of-control to its end. This is science not fate, faith, nor belief. Human induced climate change has resulted in environmental tipping points being breached.

Tipping points, when crossed, trigger self-sustaining feedback loops that are no longer dependent on human activity. Similar to when a domino topples over hitting two more dominoes that in turn fall hitting more dominoes. Thus, the name The Domino Effect. It can also be visualized as The Snowball Effect. A tipping point is like a snowball rolling down a hill growing in mass and velocity (momentum). When a tipping point is crossed, it results in cumulative and reinforced global warming.

9 Climate Change Tipping Points Crossed
At least nine tipping points have been crossed. The first dominoes have fallen and will continue to knock down more tiles with each escalating step. The crossing of these nine climate tipping points represents a critical threshold in the Earth’s climate system, with potentially irreversible consequences for global ecosystems and human societies.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the album “With It” by The Beatless Sense Mongers and the album “Dreadnots” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderWhat Comes With It (. or ?)

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[Intro]
Baggage
Found in the cabbage (patches)
Fell off the bandwagon
(If the saying matches)

[Verse 1]
No (No)
Don’t cry
(No don’t cry)
The time has come
(To come undone)

[Bridge]
Baggage
Found in the cabbage (patches)
Fell off the bandwagon
(If the saying matches)

[Chorus]
If it’s us agin’ them
(Agin’ and agin’)
Where do we begin
(To win? Win-win)

[Bridge]
Bring on the love
(Pour more)
Love

[Verse 2]
Yes (Oh, yes)
Progress
(All of us)
The time has come
(For one undone)

[Chorus]
If it’s us agin’ them
(Agin’ and agin’)
Where do we begin
(To win? Win-win)

[Bridge]
Bring on the love
(Pour more)
Love
[Outro]
Bring on the love
(Pour more)
Love

A SCIENCE NOTE
As an economist, I have spent my career studying risk management, and in the process, I have also become a climate scientist — because climate change is the greatest risk to humanity. Climate science is closely tied to our emotions, particularly hate and love. The hatred of scientists and intelligence is one of the most significant factors contributing to the potential demise of modern civilization. If you’re over 8 years old, you should NOT be reposting memes. Most memes are generated by foreign actors (e.g., Russia) attempting to sow division through hate. Memes that promote class warfare, advocate taxing the rich, reference corporate greed or the economy, criticize philanthropy, demonize immigrants, undermine climate science, or promote “drill, baby, drill” are prime examples. If you’re under 8 years old, you shouldn’t be on social media at all. STOP REPOSTING HATEFUL MEMES.

The solution lies in increased education and LOVE.

From a paper I coauthored: The government’s actions, or lack thereof, represent their constituents’ hate and ignorance, leading to a situation where “worst-case” predictions for climate change have become the “best-case” expectations. The ramifications of these decisions are dire, prompting a revision of climate models to reflect a much grimmer outlook. The new projections indicate a potential maximum global temperature increase of 9°C within this century, a stark rise from the previously estimated 4°C over the next millennium.

What Can I Do? There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet: stop using fossil fuels, consume less, and love more.

— from Climate Science: The Influence of Love and Hate Brouse (2024)

From the album “With It” by The Beatless Sense Mongers and the album “Dreadnots” by Narley Marley

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderPick Up the Peaces

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[Intro]
As the days grow shorter
The nights grow long
The usual order
Yet, something’s gone wrong

[Verse 1]
What used to take a century
Now happens in many years
Man’s self-made hierarchy
Bringing us all to tears

[Chorus]
As the days grow shorter
The nights grow long
The usual order
Yet, something’s gone wrong

[Bridge]
Can we pick up the pieces
(Pick up the peaces)
Love as our guide
(To get to the other side)

[Verse 2]
Acceleration rate
Propelled by the human race
Create their own fate
Destroying their own place

[Chorus]
As the days grow shorter
The nights grow long
The usual order
Yet, something’s gone wrong

[Bridge]
Can we pick up the pieces
(Pick up the peaces)
Love as our guide
(To get to the other side)

[Chorus]
As the days grow shorter
The nights grow long
The usual order
Yet, something’s gone wrong

[Outro]
Can we pick up the pieces
(Pick up the peaces)
Love as our guide
(To get to the other side)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Doubling time refers to the duration needed for a quantity to double in size, a characteristic of exponential growth. By 2020, substantial data revealed that the doubling time for certain anthropogenic climate impacts had decreased significantly, shifting from 100 years to merely 10 years. For instance, the rate of sea level rise has surged from approximately 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. This trend suggests that the doubling period is likely to further contract, heightening the prospect of sea levels ascending at a rate of one foot per year by 2050.

If the doubling time remains at 10 years, we could see extreme events 100% more intense and/or longer in duration, as well as, 14 times more likely to occur. As mentioned above, we expect the doubling time to be reduced. If the doubling time is 5 years, in ten years we could see 200% more intense and longer extreme weather events being 28 times more likely to occur.

2024 Update
Global average sea level rose by about 0.3 inches (0.76 centimeters) from 2022 to 2023, according to a NASA-led analysis. When we authored this paper in 2023, we could not have foreseen the swift acceleration of this trend. Initially projected to double over a span of 100 years, the rate of sea level rise dramatically escalated, shortening the doubling period to a mere 10 years by 2020. Shockingly, recent observations suggest that this doubling period has further compressed to just 2 years. It is imperative to acknowledge and address this concerning trend, hoping it is not a foreboding indication of a new norm but rather an anomaly.

* Our climate model uses chaos theory in an attempt to adequately account for humans and forecasts a global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Everybody has the responsibility not to pollute. There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet. Stop using fossil fuels. Consume less. Love more. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.

From the album “Half-Cocked” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderNumbers Are Numbers

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[Intro]
Numbers are numbers
Know they don’t lie
The path through math
Will suppress your cry

[Verse 1]
See inequity rising
Not surprisingly
So is the sea
[Bridge]
Only rational thinking
Will stop our ship from sinking

[Chorus]
Numbers are numbers (1, 2)
Know they don’t lie (never do)
The path through math (3, 4)
Will suppress your cry (for sure)

[Verse 2]
If tax code is taxing
On your ‘facting’
Try to find your mind
(through being kind)
[Bridge]
Only rational thinking
Will stop our ship from sinking

[Chorus]
Numbers are numbers (1, 2)
Know they don’t lie (never do)
The path through math (3, 4)
Will suppress your cry (for sure)

[Bridge]
Only rational thinking
Will stop our ship from sinking

[Outro]
Numbers are numbers (1, 2)
Know they don’t lie (never do)
The path through math (3, 4)
Will suppress your cry (for sure)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Climate change will continue to exacerbate existing inequalities. As extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and other climate-related disruptions increase, those with fewer resources will struggle the most to adapt and recover. This growing inequality calls for a two-pronged approach: actively working to mitigate global warming and preparing for the socio-economic disparities it will inevitably deepen.

From the album “Half-Cocked” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderFiddlin’ Nero Style

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[Intro]
The extreme
Moved mean’s mean
(On average more savage)
Know what I mean?
(All the while… fiddlin’ Nero style)

[Verse 1]
In both the weather
And the whether
The extremes got together
To create hate

[Bridge]
The extreme
Moved mean’s mean
(On average more savage)
Know what I mean?
(All the while… fiddlin’ Nero style)

[Chorus]
Those on the fringe
Are on a binge
To infringe
On your rights
(That’s right)
(What rights the left left)

[Verse 2]
Home wasn’t built in a day
(Yet, they while it away)
All the while
Home is burning
(They fiddle Nero style)

[Bridge]
The extreme
Moved mean’s mean
(On average more savage)
Know what I mean?
(All the while… fiddlin’ Nero style)

[Chorus]
Those on the fringe
Are on a binge
To infringe
On your rights
(That’s right)
(What rights the left left)

[Bridge]
The extreme
Moved mean’s mean
[Outro]
(On average more savage)
Know what I mean?
(All the while… fiddlin’ Nero style)

ABOUT THE SCIENCE
Both weather patterns and political landscapes have become more extreme in recent years, and climate change is a common underlying factor. As extreme weather events increase in frequency and intensity due to climate change, the average conditions over a decade shift toward a new, more extreme norm. Similarly, political extremes are becoming more polarized, with both the far-right and far-left adopting increasingly radical positions. This polarization not only shifts the political spectrum’s average opinions but also escalates the general level of hostility and aggression in public discourse. Moreover, the political extremes often exacerbate climate change through their policies or lack thereof, creating a feedback loop where increasing environmental and social tensions feed into each other, fostering a progressively more hostile environment.

ABOUT THE SONG
The song lyrics describe a commentary on the increasing extremism in both weather patterns and political ideologies. It uses metaphorical language to convey a sense of growing hostility and division in society, as well as the consequences of ignoring critical issues like climate change.

Key Themes and Interpretations:

  1. Extreme Weather and Political Polarization: The repeated phrase “The extreme moved mean’s mean” suggests that extreme events, whether climatic or political, are becoming the new norm (“mean”). This shift leads to more aggressive and hostile behaviors (“more savage”).
  2. Comparison to Nero: The reference to “fiddlin’ Nero style” alludes to the Roman Emperor Nero, who, according to legend, played the fiddle while Rome burned. This metaphor implies that while serious issues (such as climate change and societal division) escalate, people in power or society at large are distracted or indifferent, failing to take meaningful action.
  3. Political Extremes and Infringement: The lyrics criticize the fringes of the political spectrum for being on a “binge to infringe on your rights,” indicating that both far-right and far-left ideologies are increasingly encroaching on personal freedoms.
  4. Destruction of Home and Inaction: The line “Home wasn’t built in a day / Yet, they while it away” suggests that while the societal “home” or foundation is being destroyed (through inaction on critical issues), people are passively watching without taking action.

The song conveys a message of concern about the current state of affairs, where extremes dominate discourse and action, potentially leading to destructive outcomes if left unchecked. It critiques both societal complacency and the aggressive push from political extremes that threaten individual rights and the environment.

* Our climate model uses chaos theory in an attempt to adequately account for humans and forecasts a global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Everybody has the responsibility not to pollute. There are plenty of things you can do to help save the planet. Stop using fossil fuels. Consume less. Love more. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.

From the album “All Mixed Up” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_border186k

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[Intro]
I’m not sure
If things are going just right
As things are changing
At the speed of light

[Verse 1]
Did you hear about…
Oh forget about it
It’s too late
Changing at a rapid rate

[Bridge]
Hard to keep up with the news
No time to get the blues

[Chorus]
I’m not sure
If things are going just right
As things are changing
At the speed of light

[Verse 2]
As Dorthy once said,
My! People come and go so quickly here!
The wicked witch is dead
Yet, there’s plenty to fear

[Bridge]
Hard to keep up with the news
No time to get the blues

[Chorus]
I’m not sure
If things are going just right
As things are changing
At the speed of light

[Bridge]
Hard to keep up with the news
No time to get the blues
Forget what you knew
And, learn what to do

[Outro]
I’m not sure
If things are going just right
As things are changing
At the speed of light

A SCIENCE NOTE
The phrase “all the world is a flux” is often attributed to the ancient Greek philosopher Heraclitus, although his exact wording may have varied as it has been interpreted and translated over time. Heraclitus is known for his doctrine that change is central to the universe. One of his most famous sayings is “πάντα ῥεῖ” (panta rhei), which translates to “everything flows” or “all things are in flux.”

The meaning behind this statement is that everything in the world is constantly changing and nothing remains the same. This idea reflects Heraclitus’ belief in the impermanence and ever-changing nature of the universe. He famously illustrated this concept by saying that one cannot step into the same river twice, as the water is always flowing and thus the river is always changing.

Heraclitus’ philosophy emphasized the unity of opposites and the constant state of becoming, rather than static being. This notion contrasts with the ideas of other pre-Socratic philosophers who believed in more permanent and unchanging substances at the foundation of reality.

The speed of light in a vacuum is approximately 186,282 (~186k) miles per second (mi/s)​. This is a fundamental constant in physics, often denoted by the symbol cc, and it is crucial in many areas of science and technology, including the theory of relativity and various applications in communication and measurement technologies.

Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration
How fast are humans causing the climate to change? When we started our experiments in the 1990’s, we thought the time scale was in millenniums. If climate change were happening on a linear basis, we would have been correct; however, by the late 90’s we were convinced climate change was non-linear.

At what rate is climate change accelerating?
A: Rapidly
As described above, we do not know the rate of acceleration other than to say it is more rapid than previously thought. In the summer of 2023, the extreme temperatures left most climate scientists shocked. The average earth surface temperature recorded record highs for months reaching over 3 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The Paris Agreement calls for keeping temperatures below 1.5 degrees. Scientists concur that a rise of 2 degrees will trigger feedback loops and tipping points. Triggering these tipping points results in the CO2 stored in nature to be released at an exponential growth rate. How extreme the acceleration will be depends on tipping points toppling other tipping points in what is known as The Domino Effect. Toppled tipping points will continue to shrink the doubling time and exponentially increase the rate of global warming. Though we do not know how much carbon is stored in nature, it would be reasonable to assume that the temperature could be pushed from 3 degrees to 6 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Humans can not thrive above a rise of 1.5 degrees. Humans can not survive if the temperature rises 6 degrees.

From the album “The Rise of the Fall” by The End

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment