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bookmark_borderWaiting on the Whether

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Anticipating whether
Waiting on the weather

[Verse 1]
More uncertainty
In predictability
The practicality
Of reality

[Chorus]
Waiting on the weather
Anticipating whether
Today’s a day
To go out and play

[Bridge]
Making music in the rain
Is a strain
Electrifying
Terrifying

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Bass]

[Verse 2]
Less certainty
In reliability
The practicality
Of reality

[Chorus]
Waiting on the weather
Anticipating whether
Today’s a day
To go out and play

[Bridge]
Making music in the rain
Is a strain
Electrifying
Terrifying

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Bridge]
Electrifying
Terrifying
Making music in the rain
Turns insane
Refrain from dancing in the rain
Taking a chance
To dance
Risks your chance
To remain

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
Waiting on the weather
Anticipating whether
Today’s a day
To go out and play

[Outro]
Refrain from dancing in the rain
Taking a chance
To dance
Risks your chance
To remain

A SCIENCE NOTE
Climate change makes weather forecasting more difficult through several mechanisms that increase the complexity and variability of weather patterns. Here are some of the key challenges:

  1. Increased Weather Extremes: Climate change is associated with more frequent and intense weather extremes, such as heatwaves, heavy rainfall, hurricanes, and droughts. These extreme events are often harder to predict accurately because they can develop rapidly and are influenced by multiple factors.
  2. Altered Atmospheric Patterns: Climate change can disrupt established atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the jet stream and trade winds. These disruptions can lead to unusual weather patterns and increased variability, making it more challenging to forecast weather accurately over both short and long timescales.
  3. Greater Variability: With climate change, there is increased variability in weather conditions. This means that forecasters have to account for a wider range of possible scenarios, which increases the uncertainty in weather predictions.
  4. Shifts in Weather Systems: Climate change can cause shifts in the behavior and location of weather systems, such as changes in the onset and intensity of monsoons, the path of storm tracks, and the timing of seasonal transitions. These shifts can be difficult to predict accurately with existing models.
  5. Data Limitations: Climate change impacts can create conditions that are outside the range of historical data used to train weather forecasting models. This can limit the models’ ability to accurately predict new or unprecedented weather phenomena.
  6. Feedback Loops: Climate change can introduce complex feedback loops in the climate system. For example, melting polar ice reduces the Earth’s albedo (reflectivity), leading to more heat absorption and further warming. Such feedback loops can create nonlinear and unpredictable changes in weather patterns.
  7. Localized Impacts: Climate change can have highly localized impacts that are difficult to capture with large-scale weather models. For example, urban heat islands can exacerbate temperature extremes in cities, while regional variations in sea surface temperatures can influence local weather patterns.
  8. Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions: Changes in ocean temperatures and currents, such as those associated with El Niño and La Niña events, can have significant and far-reaching impacts on weather patterns. Climate change can alter the frequency, intensity, and behavior of these ocean-atmosphere interactions, complicating weather forecasts.
  9. Model Uncertainty: Weather forecasting relies on numerical models that simulate the atmosphere. As climate change alters the baseline conditions of the atmosphere, these models may need to be continually updated and refined to maintain their accuracy. The increasing complexity of the climate system can introduce more uncertainty into these models.
  10. Infrastructure Strain: The increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events can strain meteorological infrastructure, such as weather stations and satellite networks. Maintaining and expanding this infrastructure to keep up with the demands of accurate forecasting becomes more challenging in the face of climate change.

Climate change introduces new variables and amplifies existing uncertainties in the weather forecasting process, making it more difficult to provide accurate and reliable predictions. Meteorologists and climate scientists are continually working to improve models and incorporate new data to better understand and forecast weather in a changing climate.

Global warming is caused by an increase in thermal energy in the climate system. The Earth is a climate system. Many subsystems make up our climate. Chaos theory emphasizes the complexity and nonlinearity of dynamic systems, and this complexity is inherent in the interactions between soil, atmosphere, and oceans in the Earth’s climate system.

Atmospheric circulation together with ocean circulation is how thermal energy is redistributed throughout the world. Chaos theory offers insights into the complex, nonlinear dynamics of climate systems role in the redistribution of thermal energy. The Earth’s climate is a highly complex and dynamic system, influenced by various factors such as ocean currents, atmospheric circulation, and feedback loops.

General Circulation Models for the earth climate are nonlinear and teleconnected. That means a small change in temperature or pressure or humidity in one small area on the globe can cause _large_ changes in conditions _anywhere_ on the globe. This is sometimes called the Butterfly effect. The complexity of these models can lead to chaotic behaviour. Climate science must grapple with these models and extract results in spite of the mathematical difficulties, and there have been remarkable successes in some cases and sad failures in others. Nevertheless we must proceed.

Conclusion
Humans are making the Earth hotter. The cool water from the melting ice at the poles is being drawn toward the center of the Earth and getting warmed to record high temperatures. The warm, moist air is circulating and moving over land. The average time moisture stays in the air is 9 days before it turns into precipitation. The warmer the air becomes, the more rain the atmosphere holds and dumps; therefore, violent rain events are increasing in frequency and intensity.

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9℃ above pre-industrial levels.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderForeboding Sky

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[Verse 1]
Energy increasing
Humans ain’t ceasing
Thermal overload
Makes my head explode

[Chorus]
No wonder why
Foreboding sky
Cross my heart
Hope not to die

[Bridge]
Understanding
Is a start
Start commanding
Our part

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Head exploding
With dark foreboding
Dam broke wide
No place to hide

[Chorus]
No wonder why
Foreboding sky
Cross my heart
Hope not to die

[Bridge]
Understanding
Is a start
Start commanding
Our part

[Instrumental, Piano Solo, Bass]

[Bridge]
Understanding
The Man thing
Is a start
Start commanding
Our part
Look into the heart
Commending
Smart

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
No wonder why
Foreboding sky
Cross my heart
Hope not to die

[Outro]
No wonder why
Foreboding sky
Cross my heart
Hope not to die

A SCIENCE NOTE

Humans are making the Earth hotter. The cool water from the melting ice at the poles is being drawn toward the center of the Earth and getting warmed to record high temperatures. The warm, moist air is circulating and moving over land. The average time moisture stays in the air is 9 days before it turns into precipitation. The warmer the air becomes, the more rain the atmosphere holds and dumps; therefore, violent rain events are increasing in frequency and intensity.

Atmospheric circulation together with ocean circulation is how thermal energy is redistributed throughout the world. Chaos theory offers insights into the complex, nonlinear dynamics of climate systems role in the redistribution of thermal energy. The Earth’s climate is a highly complex and dynamic system, influenced by various factors such as ocean currents, atmospheric circulation, and feedback loops.

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9℃ above pre-industrial levels.

 

Climate change is creating more foreboding skies by influencing various atmospheric and weather-related processes that result in more intense and visually dramatic cloud formations and weather phenomena. Here are some key ways in which climate change contributes to this effect:

  1. Increased Moisture and Cloud Formation: Warmer temperatures due to climate change lead to higher rates of evaporation from bodies of water. This increased moisture in the atmosphere can lead to the formation of more and thicker clouds. When these clouds become dense and heavy with moisture, they appear darker and more foreboding.
  2. Enhanced Thunderstorm Activity: Climate change can intensify thunderstorms by increasing the amount of available heat and moisture. Enhanced convection (the upward movement of warm, moist air) can lead to the development of larger, more powerful storm clouds, such as cumulonimbus clouds. These clouds are often associated with severe weather and can create dark, ominous skies.
  3. More Frequent and Intense Storms: As climate change progresses, the frequency and intensity of storms, including hurricanes, tornadoes, and severe thunderstorms, are expected to increase. These storms often produce dramatic and foreboding skies with dark clouds, lightning, and heavy precipitation. The visual impact of these storms can be striking and intimidating.
  4. Higher Cloud Tops: Intensified convection can cause storm clouds to grow taller, reaching higher altitudes in the atmosphere. These high-reaching clouds can block more sunlight, contributing to darker skies. The vertical extent of these clouds can also make them appear more menacing.
  5. Pollutants and Aerosols: Climate change can influence the concentration of pollutants and aerosols in the atmosphere. These particles can act as cloud condensation nuclei, leading to the formation of more and smaller water droplets in clouds. This can enhance the optical density of clouds, making them appear darker and more threatening. Some pollutants can also absorb sunlight, further darkening the clouds.
  6. Increased Frequency of Extreme Weather Events: Climate change is linked to a rise in extreme weather events, such as intense rainstorms, heatwaves, and windstorms. These events can create dramatic and foreboding skies, with rapidly changing weather conditions and visually striking cloud formations.
  7. Shifts in Weather Patterns: Climate change can alter global weather patterns, leading to more unpredictable and severe weather. This can result in a higher likelihood of encountering unusual and dramatic skies, as weather systems become more erratic and extreme.

Climate change amplifies the factors that contribute to the formation of darker, more intense, and visually dramatic skies. These changes can create a more foreboding atmosphere, reflecting the increasing severity and unpredictability of weather patterns in a warming world.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderDarker

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[Intro]
Storm warning
Alarming

[Verse 1]
The sky grows darker
The wind whips harder
Outlook grows bleaker
Searching for a truth seeker

[Chorus]
Can you explain
What’s happening
Under Man’s domain
Can you articulate
What the primate
Change incorporates

[Bridge]
Severity
A clarity
The way force flows go
You know?

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills, Bass]

[Verse 2]
The outlook starker
The times grow darker
The question remains
Who sustains?

[Chorus]
Can you explain
What’s happening
Under Man’s domain
Can you articulate
What the primate
Change incorporates

[Bridge]
Severity
A clarity
The way force flows go
You know?

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano, Bass]

[Bridge]
Severity
A clarity
Force flows go
(Woe, woe, woe)
Are you aware:
Scale as the square
Of velocity
Look! See.

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano, Bass]

[Chorus]
Can you explain
What’s happening
Under Man’s domain
Can you articulate
What the primate
Change incorporates

[Outro]
Are you aware:
Scale as the square
Of velocity
Look! See.

A SCIENCE NOTE

Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity. Look at drag physics and you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2). So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour. Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind. So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on.

— from The Reign of Violent Rain / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

Climate change is contributing to the formation of darker storm clouds through several interconnected mechanisms. These mechanisms primarily involve increases in atmospheric moisture, changes in temperature patterns, and shifts in atmospheric dynamics:

  1. Increased Atmospheric Moisture: Warmer temperatures due to climate change cause more water to evaporate from oceans, lakes, and other water bodies. This added moisture in the atmosphere provides more fuel for cloud formation. When this moisture condenses into clouds, it releases latent heat, which can further enhance storm development. The higher moisture content can lead to thicker, denser clouds that appear darker because they contain more water droplets or ice crystals.
  2. Enhanced Convective Activity: Warmer surface temperatures lead to increased convection, which is the upward movement of warm, moist air. This process is fundamental to the formation of storm clouds, particularly cumulonimbus clouds, which are associated with severe weather. Enhanced convection can lead to the formation of larger and more intense storm clouds that are darker due to their increased density and depth.
  3. Higher Cloud Tops: As convection becomes more intense, storm clouds can grow taller, reaching higher altitudes in the atmosphere. These high-reaching clouds can become more electrically charged, leading to more intense thunderstorms. The thickness and vertical extent of these clouds make them appear darker from the ground.
  4. More Intense Storm Systems: Climate change can lead to more intense and frequent storm systems. These storms often produce larger and more numerous cloud particles, which can block more sunlight and make the clouds appear darker. Intense storms are also more likely to contain significant amounts of rain, hail, or ice, contributing to the darker appearance of the clouds.
  5. Pollutants and Aerosols: Climate change can influence the concentration of pollutants and aerosols in the atmosphere. These particles can serve as cloud condensation nuclei, around which water droplets can form. An increased number of these nuclei can lead to the formation of more and smaller droplets, making clouds appear darker and thicker. Additionally, certain pollutants can absorb sunlight, further darkening the clouds.

Climate change contributes to the formation of darker storm clouds through increased atmospheric moisture, enhanced convection, higher cloud tops, more intense storm systems, and changes in atmospheric pollutants. These factors combine to create clouds that are denser, taller, and more capable of blocking sunlight, leading to their darker appearance.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderToday’s Forecast: Chance of Violent Rain

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A severe weather alert
Has been issued
For your patch of dirt
Alert!

[Verse 1]
Another day
But more extreme
In some way
Know what I mean

[Chorus]
They say
Violent rain on the way
Can’t play
Under Man’s fierce foray

[Bridge]
The chance does remain
For violent rain
Under the strain
Of Man’s domain

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Day after day
Is getting more extreme
The atmosphere
Now come to fear

[Chorus]
They say
Violent rain on the way
Can’t play
Under Man’s fierce foray

[Bridge]
The chance does remain
For violent rain
Under the strain
Of Man’s domain

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Synthesizers, Bass]

[Bridge]
The chance — sustained
For violent reign
Of violent rain
Impacting the brain
Under the strain
Of Man’s domain

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
They say
Violent rain on the way
Can’t play
Under Man’s fierce foray

[Outro]
Violent rain
Impacting the brain
Under the strain
Of Man’s domain

A SCIENCE NOTE
May 27, 2024 — Severe Weather Threat Shifts to I-95 Corridor on Memorial Day
After severe weather and tornadoes tore across the nation’s heartland, resulting in at least 19 deaths across Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Kentucky over the weekend, the threat of severe storms and violent rain is now shifting eastward on Memorial Day. Millions of people along the Interstate 95 corridor are at risk of experiencing damaging wind gusts, severe downpours, large hail, and a few tornadoes. This shift underscores the broader trend of increasing extreme weather events due to climate change.

As millions along the I-95 corridor brace for the severe weather threat, it highlights the urgent need for increased preparedness and adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change-induced extreme weather. This includes investing in resilient infrastructure, improving early warning systems, and promoting public awareness and readiness to respond to severe weather events.

Climate change is contributing to more frequent and intense weather events, including violent rainstorms and severe thunderstorms. Warmer global temperatures increase atmospheric moisture, which can lead to heavier rainfall and more severe storms. These conditions not only heighten the risk of flooding but also provide the energy needed for storms to develop into more dangerous systems.

Imminent Risk: Violent Rain

In October of 2023 Sidd said, “Now I am thinking the violent rain will be a bigger problem before we die… still thinking it through. In the long run, ya, sea level rise will hit big. If you look at the history, it is episodic, and in the fast bits it can go up 3 feet every twenty years for five hundred years. But, the rain intensity is increasing faster today, and drainage cannot cope, whether in the city or out, culverts and such put in over the last hundred years cannot handle. So, I am paying a lot of attention to terrain and drainage far inland from the seacoast (like Ohio.) By drainage I don’t mean just human built. I mean that the natural streams and gullies and ravines have not evolved to a state that can handle the water volumes we see and the worse, larger volumes we will see. So expect huger erosion, steeper slopes to waterways, land collapses and such. Build out your drainage.”

The rain intensity is increasing faster today than ever known. Multiple factors figure into the physics of violent rain. The Momentum of Rain is p = mv (p = momentum, m = mass, v = velocity.) Part of the increasing momentum is transferred to the sides and upward increasing wind turbulence, as well as updrafts. Most of the momentum is transferred upon impact. You may notice the rain bouncing higher off the streets and sidewalks. As rain becomes more massive, it will have greater momentum when it hits the ground causing more damage. The momentum of rain and the turbulence of wind are part of a larger equation that includes not only the mass and velocity of precipitation but also the density. The combination of these variables results in an increased intensity of the flow dynamics. Increased updrafts will result in an increase in the frequency of hail. When violent rain becomes denser and turns into hail, it can be deadly. Ground without groundcover will be hit harder causing more damage. The groundcover will also be hit harder causing more damage. Concrete, asphalt, solar panels, roofs, and plants will sustain more damage. Hail may also impact your skull. Infants and young children are at highest risk. Several infants have been killed by hail in the past year.

Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity. Look at drag physics and you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2). So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour. Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind. So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on.

— from The Reign of Violent Rain / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderTornado Superhighway

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[Intro]
Time to go into a closet
To prolong burial deposit

[Verse 1]
The Central U.S.
Is a mess
Homes tossed
Lives lost

[Chorus]
Intensity
Frequency
Severity
[Bridge]
The mean storm is meaner
(Go greener)
The norm is not norm
(Too warm)

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Good golly
Tornado alley
A thing of the past
Now a superhighway
Humans… the causeway
(No way? Way!)

[Chorus]
Intensity
Frequency
Severity
[Bridge]
The mean storm is meaner
(Go greener)
The norm is not norm
(Too warm)

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Bridge]
A superhighway
Humans… the causeway
(No way? Way!)
Fueling catastrophe
Why? Don’t ask me
(Why to cry)

[Instrumental, Piano]

[Chorus]
Intensity
Frequency
Severity
[Bridge]
The mean storm is meaner
(Go greener)
The norm is not norm
(Too warm)

[Outro]
A superhighway
Humans… the causeway
(No way? Way!)

A SCIENCE NOTE
May 27, 2024 — At least 19 Killed in Tornado-Spawning Storms Sweeping Central US

At least 19 people, including four children, have died in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Kentucky due to tornadoes and severe weather that swept through the central United States. The storms, along with extreme heat in some areas, continue to disrupt plans and cause power outages over the Memorial Day weekend. Millions of people are facing severe weather threats, with over 120 million at risk on Monday. The risk is concentrated along the East Coast, south of New England, where a level 2 out of 5 threat has been issued.

The frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as tornadoes and severe storms, are increasingly influenced by climate change. Here are some key ways climate change impacts these events:

  1. Increased Heat and Moisture: Warmer global temperatures lead to more heat and moisture in the atmosphere. This added heat and moisture can fuel more intense storms and provide the energy needed for severe weather events, including tornadoes.
  2. Altered Jet Stream Patterns: Climate change can affect the behavior of the jet stream, the high-altitude winds that influence weather patterns. A more erratic jet stream can lead to more extreme weather events, such as prolonged heatwaves and severe storms.
  3. Higher Sea Surface Temperatures: Warmer ocean temperatures can lead to more powerful hurricanes and tropical storms, which can bring severe weather inland and contribute to tornado formation in affected areas.
  4. Increased Atmospheric Instability: Climate change can lead to greater atmospheric instability, a key factor in the development of severe weather. This instability can increase the likelihood and severity of thunderstorms, which can spawn tornadoes.
  5. More Frequent Heavy Rainfall Events: Warmer air holds more moisture, leading to heavier and more frequent rainfall events. These heavy rains can accompany severe storms, increasing the potential for flooding and other weather-related disasters.
  6. Longer Storm Seasons: Climate change can extend the duration of storm seasons, increasing the window of time during which severe weather can occur.

While the direct link between climate change and specific tornado events is complex and still under study, the overall trend suggests that climate change is likely to contribute to more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderFeels Like Sunset

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[Refrain]
Oh (Oh)
Sunset?
(Stay in the light)
Not yet.
(Oh, no)
Know not yet
(Avoid the night)

[Verse]
I’m not quite sure, yet
But it feels like it’s sunset
Going down
[Bridge]
On the shape, how round?
(profound)
Going down
(Down, down, down)

[Chorus]
And don’t forget
The sunset..
But, let’s get back ’round
To the part “how round?”

[Bridge]
Can I move
Mo point-of-groove
And still see the light
[Break]
And, still be in the light
Delight
On the verge
Of the curve
But, not yet
Sunset

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Refrain]
Oh (Oh)
Sunset?
(Stay in the light)
Not yet.
(Oh, no)
Know not yet
(Avoid the night)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Yes, you can extend your view of a sunset by changing your position or vantage point. Here are a few ways to do that:

  1. Move to a Higher Elevation: If you’re on a hill, mountain, or tall building, you can see the sun for a longer period as it sets because your horizon is farther away.
  2. Travel West: By moving westward, you can prolong your view of the sunset. This works because you’re effectively “chasing” the sun as it sets.
  3. Use an Airplane: If you’re in an airplane flying west, you can significantly extend the duration of the sunset. Pilots sometimes adjust their altitude and direction to allow passengers to enjoy extended views of sunsets and sunrises.
  4. Go to a Coastline: Watching the sunset from a coastline, particularly on the western edge of a landmass, can give you an unobstructed view of the sun setting over the ocean, prolonging the experience.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderAmplitude of Your Attitude

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[Intro]
2 squared equals 4
Wait, there’s more
4 squared equals 16
Get what I mean?

[Instrumental, Feedback Guitar, Theremin]

[Verse 1]
The way it multiplies
Or divides
A question
On which a lot rides

[Chorus]
What’s the amplitude
Of you attitude
Bleeding edge
Or rather crude?

[Bridge]
The usual
(Unusual)
Nose-up
(Don’t share nor care)

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
What’s the amplitude
Of you attitude
Bleeding edge
Or rather crude?

[Bridge]
The usual
(Unusual)
Nose-dive
(Don’t care to survive)
(The usual)
Unusual
(Nose-dive)
Don’t care to survive

[Instrumental, Theremin Solo, Drum Fills]

[Bridge]
An angular difference
Indifference
The maximum extent your vibe
And, or your tribe vibe
Is in decline
Not to mention
The direction
Of the line

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Chorus]
What’s the amplitude
Of you attitude
Bleeding edge
Or rather crude?

[Instrumental, Piano]

[Outro]
2 squared equals 4
Wait, there’s more
4 squared equals 16
Get what I mean?

A SCIENCE NOTE
The song “Amplitude of Your Attitude” uses physics concepts (amplitude and attitude) as metaphors and plays on words to explore human behavior and climate change.

Attitude refers to the angular difference between an airplane’s axis and the Earth’s horizon. Pitch attitude is the angle formed by the longitudinal axis of the airplane, and bank attitude is the angle formed by the lateral axis. In large transport aircraft, an unusual attitude is typically defined as a nose-up pitch attitude greater than 25 degrees or a nose-down pitch attitude greater than 10 degrees.

Amplitude refers to the maximum extent of a vibration or oscillation, measured from the position of equilibrium. In different contexts, it can be defined as:

  1. Wave Physics: In wave phenomena (such as sound waves, light waves, and water waves), amplitude is the height of the wave crest or the depth of the wave trough from the equilibrium position. It indicates the energy or intensity of the wave. For instance, in a sound wave, a larger amplitude means a louder sound.
  2. Electronics: In alternating current (AC) circuits, amplitude is the maximum value of the voltage or current.
  3. Harmonic Motion: In simple harmonic motion (like a pendulum), amplitude is the maximum displacement from the equilibrium position.
  4. Signal Processing: In signal processing, amplitude refers to the magnitude of the signal’s variation from its average value.

Amplitude is a measure of how much a wave or oscillation deviates from its average or equilibrium position.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderPuzzled

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[Intro]
(Hmmmm…)
Hmm
Puzzled at your behavior?

[Verse 1]
A square peg in a round hole
Or a round peg in a square hole
Is it the same answer
A bigger hammer?

[Bridge]
If you choose the hard way
It’s going to be a hell-of-a-day

[Chorus]
And it all begins
With the easy way out
Then happens again
On the escape route

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Verse 2]
What the deal
Hamster on its wheel
Amazed
Rat in it’s maze

[Bridge]
Is primate change
Just as strange?

[Chorus]
And it all begins
With the easy way out
Then happens again
On the escape route

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Bridge]
Hmm
Puzzled at your behavior?
Is primate change
Estranged?

[Instrumental, Organ Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
And it all begins
With the easy way out
Then happens again
On the escape route

[Instrumental, Piano]

[Outro]
And it all begins
With the easy way out

A SCIENCE NOTE
Anthropogenic climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). Climate change is primarily driven by the escalation of thermal energy affecting biogeophysical and socio-economic systems. While biogeophysical factors can be studied using math, physics, and historical records, socio-economic systems pose greater challenges due to the unpredictable consequences of human behavior and inexplicable consumer choices, exacerbating tipping points and feedback loops.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderLock and Key

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(Knock, knock)
Can you unlock
The door
I can’t get in
Any more

[Verse 1]
It used to be
A lock needs a key
But, lately
I’m starting to see

[Bridge]
Change has come
Things have changed
Can’t outrun
Future’s range

[Chorus]
The pace of our race
Accelerates
Round and round we go
The space for our race
Degenerates
As if we don’t know

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
In the old day
You needed a key
Now I see
Those days have gone away

[Bridge]
Change has come
Things have changed
Can’t outrun
Future’s range

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Bass]

[Verse 3]
Once upon a time
Man came
Rearranged change
Things have never been the same

[Bridge]
Change has come
Things have changed
Can’t outrun
Future’s range

[Chorus]
The pace of our race
Accelerates
Round and round we go
The space for our race
Degenerates
As if we don’t know

[Outro]
The pace of our race
Accelerates

A SCIENCE NOTE
Unfortunately, even scientists are failing to see, let alone forecast, the rapid acceleration in climate change. Due to their complexity, the impacts of the Domino Effect are being underestimated. The Domino Effect is also known as “tipping cascades” in climate science. Cascading impacts in relation to tipping points include cascading impacts across biogeophysical and social systems. Until recently, scientist have been drastically underestimating the social-ecological systems. The University of Exeter reports, “There is a notable lack of topic clusters dedicated to how humans will be impacted by climate-related tipping cascades.” 2023 was a wake-up call to social-ecological scientists. The record breaking physical and economical impacts could be felt worldwide. The record warming year was seventeen times greater than any other record increase in history. Typically, record-breaking temperatures are measured in 100th degrees. There were also 200 consecutive days of record-breaking temperatures. Usually, there are one or two record breaking days in a row. The increase in intensity and frequency of record-breaking heat requires forecasting models to be recast.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderMaldives Believes

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(Woe)
Clearly “no”
Woe no

[Instrumental, Strings, Percussion]

[Verse 1]
Rising tides
No one hides
Vanishing shore
Sad, for sure

[Chorus]
Maldives believes
Conceives Man’s folly
No one relieves
Standing by, idly

[Bridge]
Really?
Thanks a lot
If you’d stop
We’d like to keep some…
Of what we’ve got

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Existential threat?
Oh, you bet
Yet, have no regret?
Forever in debt

[Chorus]
Maldives believes
Conceives Man’s folly
No one relieves
Standing by, idly

[Bridge]
Really?
Thanks a lot
If you’d stop
We’d like to keep some…
Of what we’ve got

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Bridge]
(Woe)
Clearly “no”
Woe no
Really?
Thanks a lot
If you’d stop
We’d like to keep some…
Of what we’ve got

[Chorus]
Maldives believes
Conceives Man’s folly
No one relieves
Standing by, idly

[Instrumental]

[Outro]
(Woe)
Clearly “no”
Woe no

A SCIENCE NOTE
The Maldives faces existential threat from a climate crisis it did little to create. We need the world’s help now
by Mohamed Muizzu, president of the Maldives. For the Maldives, the existential threat of the climate crisis, particularly sea level rise, has been a reality we have grappled with for decades. In 1989, recognising the urgency of our situation, with our islands standing just one metre above sea level, we brought this issue to the global stage for the first time.

This early recognition of our vulnerability sparked a national transformation as we embarked on proactive climate resilience and adaptation measures. Thirty-five years later, has the rest of the world truly been listening? If you look at how the world’s reaction to the climate crisis is funded, the answer is clearly “no”.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderEarthslide

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Oh, no
I think she’s gonna go

[Verse 1]
Watch the Earth slide
Over the side
The getting too hot
Is hard to stop

[Chorus]
Landslide
Wreaking havoc far and wide
Can’t hide
Can’t outrun what’s come undone

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Feel the Earth slide
Along for the ride
The getting too hot
Is over the top

[Chorus]
Landslide
Wreaking havoc far and wide
Can’t hide
Can’t outrun what’s come undone

[Instrumental, Synthesizer Solo, Drum Fills]

[Bridge]
Slide or plow
It’s happening now
A rolling stone
Crushing bone
Can’t hide
From buried alive

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
Landslide
Wreaking havoc far and wide
Can’t hide
Can’t outrun what’s come undone

[Outro]
Can’t outrun what’s come undone

A SCIENCE NOTE

Updated Information on the Impact of Climate Change on Natural Disasters

May 26, 2024 – The International Organization for Migration (IOM) on Sunday increased its estimate of the death toll from a massive landslide in Papua New Guinea to more than 670. “They are estimating that more than 670 people are under the soil at the moment,” said Serhan Aktoprak, the chief of the U.N. migration agency. “Working across the debris is very dangerous and the land is still sliding,” Aktoprak added. On May 27, the death toll was increased to over 2,000.

Context of the Landslide and Climate Change

The tragic landslide in Papua New Guinea is a stark reminder of the increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters linked to climate change. Climate change, driven by global warming and human activities, exacerbates conditions that lead to such catastrophic events. Here’s how climate change is influencing natural disasters like landslides:

  1. Increased Rainfall Intensity: Climate change leads to more intense and erratic rainfall patterns. Heavier rainfall can saturate the soil, reducing its stability and increasing the likelihood of landslides. Papua New Guinea, with its mountainous terrain, is particularly vulnerable to these changes.
  2. Deforestation and Land Use Changes: Human activities, including deforestation for agriculture or development, weaken the land’s natural stability. Vegetation loss reduces the root structures that help hold the soil in place, making the area more susceptible to landslides. Climate change can exacerbate these impacts by altering the local ecosystem balance.
  3. Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Erosion: Rising sea levels and increased storm surges can erode coastlines, leading to destabilization of coastal areas. This erosion can trigger landslides in regions where the land meets the ocean, compounding the impact of heavy rains.
  4. Permafrost Thaw: In areas with permafrost, rising temperatures can cause the frozen ground to thaw, weakening the soil structure and increasing the risk of landslides. Although not directly relevant to Papua New Guinea, this is a significant issue in other parts of the world.

Broader Implications for Climate Policy and Disaster Management

The landslide in Papua New Guinea highlights the urgent need for comprehensive climate policies and effective disaster management strategies. Here are some key considerations:

  • Enhanced Early Warning Systems: Investing in early warning systems for extreme weather events can save lives by providing timely information to vulnerable communities. These systems need to be robust and cover a wide range of natural disasters, including landslides.
  • Sustainable Land Management: Protecting forests, restoring natural vegetation, and implementing sustainable land management practices can reduce the risk of landslides. Policies that discourage deforestation and promote reforestation are crucial.
  • Climate Adaptation Strategies: Developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies that take into account the increased risk of natural disasters is essential. This includes building resilient infrastructure, designing effective drainage systems, and planning for emergency responses.
  • International Cooperation: Addressing the impacts of climate change requires global cooperation. Wealthier nations must support developing countries like Papua New Guinea in their efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change. This includes financial assistance, technology transfer, and capacity building.
  • Public Awareness and Education: Raising awareness about the links between climate change and natural disasters can help communities better prepare and respond. Education campaigns can inform people about the importance of environmental conservation and disaster preparedness.

Conclusion

The devastating landslide in Papua New Guinea is a tragic example of how climate change can amplify the risks and impacts of natural disasters. It underscores the need for immediate and concerted action to address climate change and enhance resilience against its effects. As global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and intensity of such events are likely to increase, making it imperative for the international community to act swiftly and decisively.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderGlide Bomb

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[Verse 1]
Strap on wings
Terror brings
Things of war
To abhor

[Chorus]
Reigning down
Raining down
All around
Reigning down
Raining down
Innocence bound

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
Silent approach
Border broach
Children dead
What can be said?

[Chorus]
Reigning down
Raining down
All around
Reigning down
Raining down
Innocence bound

[Instrumental, Synthesizer Solo, Bass]

[Bridge]
Can’t hear it here
Can fear it here
When will the glide ride
Subside?

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Chorus]
Reigning down
Raining down
All around]
Reigning down
Raining down
Innocence bound

[Outro]
Reigning down
Raining down

A SCIENCE NOTE
A Russian glide bomb, also known as a precision-guided glide bomb, is an aerial bomb that incorporates guidance systems to enhance its accuracy and range. Unlike traditional unguided bombs, which rely solely on gravity to hit their targets, glide bombs have aerodynamic surfaces, such as wings or fins, that allow them to “glide” towards their target after being released from an aircraft. This capability extends their range and improves their accuracy.

Key Features of Russian Glide Bombs

  1. Guidance Systems: These bombs are equipped with various guidance technologies, such as GPS, inertial navigation systems, or laser guidance, which allow them to adjust their flight path in real-time to strike specific targets with high precision.
  2. Aerodynamic Design: Glide bombs have wing-like structures or fins that provide lift and control, enabling them to glide over longer distances compared to free-fall bombs. This aerodynamic design also helps in evading enemy defenses by allowing for more flexible and unpredictable flight paths.
  3. Increased Range: The glide capability allows these bombs to be released from a distance, keeping the launching aircraft out of range of enemy air defenses. This standoff distance enhances the safety of the aircraft and crew.
  4. Payload: These bombs can carry various types of payloads, including high-explosive, cluster munitions, or specialized warheads designed to penetrate hardened targets.

Examples of Russian Glide Bombs

  • KAB-500S-E: A GPS-guided glide bomb with a range of approximately 10-15 kilometers, used for precise targeting.
  • KAB-250: A smaller version, also featuring GPS guidance, used for engaging smaller or more mobile targets.
  • Drel (PBK-500U): A cluster glide bomb designed to disperse submunitions over a wide area, effective against infantry and light vehicles.

Strategic and Tactical Advantages

  1. Precision Targeting: The guidance systems enable highly accurate strikes, reducing collateral damage and increasing the effectiveness of attacks on strategic targets.
  2. Stand-Off Capability: The extended range allows aircraft to launch these bombs from outside the range of enemy air defenses, increasing the survivability of the aircraft.
  3. Versatility: Glide bombs can be used against a wide variety of targets, including infrastructure, military installations, and armored vehicles.

Operational Use

Russian glide bombs have been employed in various conflicts, demonstrating their capability to strike with precision. Their use in Syria, for example, showcased their effectiveness in targeting enemy positions and infrastructure with minimal collateral damage.

Russian glide bombs are advanced munitions that combine guidance systems with aerodynamic designs to enhance their range and accuracy, providing significant tactical and strategic advantages in modern warfare.

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderIs Today a Good Day?

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[Verse 1]
Is today a good day
To get out the guitar
And play
Sing and dance away

[Chorus]
Everyday is a good day
To be alive
Always a good time
To strum and rhyme

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 1]
Is today a good day
To turn it up
And let it play
Sing and dance away

[Chorus]
Everyday is a good day
To be alive
Always a good time
To strum and rhyme

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano]

[Bridge]
Get out the guitar
Let’s see how far
We can get away
And let the music play
On our feet
Dancing to the beat

[Chorus]
Everyday is a good day
To be alive (thrive)
Always a good time
To strum and rhyme

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano]

[Outro]
Everyday is a good day
To be alive
And thrive

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderMy Best Friend

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[Verse 1]
My best friend
Until the very end
Can count on you
To carry me through

[Chorus]
Oh, my, my
Till the day we die
But for now
We know how
To get along
Sing our song

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
We’re best friends
Always make amends
Our love is true
Through and through

[Chorus]
Oh, my, my
Till the day we die
But for now
We know how
To get along
Sing our song

[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano]

[Bridge]
Don’t know how I could get along
Without you
Dread that day
But, for now I can’t go wrong
It’s true
With you

[Chorus]
Oh, my, my
Till the day we die
But for now
We know how
To get along
Sing our song

[Instrumental, Piano]

[Outro]
For now
We know how

by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous

The Album: Canine Incisors

bookmark_borderI’m Down

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Best guess:
Oh, yes

[Verse 1]
I’m down
For getting up
Yup, I’m up
For getting down

[Bridge]
Down, down, down
Come around
Get down, down, down
Look around
Get down

[Chorus]
Time is of the essence
For a being and their presence
Time is critical
For us all

[Instrumental, Guitar Solo, Drum Fills]

[Verse 2]
I’m down
For flying high
Oh, my (fly)
Let’s give ‘er a try

[Bridge]
Down, down, down
Come around
Get down, down, down
Look around
Get down

[Chorus]
Time is of the essence
For a being and their presence
Time is critical
For us all
(Having a ball)
[Instrumental, Saxophone Solo, Piano]

[Bridge]
Down, down, down
Come around
Get down, down, down
Look around
Get down

[Chorus]
Time is of the essence
For a being and their presence
Time is critical
For us all
(Having a ball)

[Outro]
Essence in the presence
Of the present

From the album “Incoming” by The Beatless Sense Mongers

MegaEpix Enormous