bookmark_borderViolent Rain Drain

[Intro]
We present: Violent
(Rain drain)
Rain drain
(Plain to see)
[Break]
Draining reality

[Verse 1]
It was dry (So dry)
I couldn’t cry (No, no cry)
Could forget how wet
It could get

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
(Increased) Volatility
(Increased) Frequency
You’re about to see
Draining reality

[Verse 2]
No rain for weeks (low n’ weak)
So dry couldn’t speak (too weak)
Could forget how wet
It could get

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
(Increased) Volatility
(Increased) Frequency
You’re about to see
Draining reality

[Chorus]
Don’t doubt the drought
Or insane rain
Cause you’re about
To find out
By the means
Of both extremes

[Bridge]
Violent rain drain
We represent: Violent
(Rain drain)
Rain drain
(Plain to see)
Draining reality

[Outro]
Draining reality
Right in front of me

A SCIENCE NOTE
Humans will experience greater loss and damage to life and quality of life from air pollution, decreasing supply of potable water, extreme weather events, disease, and other adverse health outcomes. The greatest short term climate change risk to human health is deadly humid heat (wet-bulb temperature). The greatest damage to the your habitat is violent rain.

In September of 2024, I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought.”

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderAnd Her Next of Kin

[Intro]
Grandma
(And her next of kin)
Stigma
(Is blowin’ in)
Better get goin’
On our way

[Verse 1]
They say
The storm brewing
Is headin’ this way
O.K.?
(It’s headed this way)
[Bridge]
Today
Is Ohhhhhh!
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Verse 2]
Touche
The storm’s threwing
Caused dismay
O.K.
(The price you pay)
[Bridge]
Today
Is Ohhhhhh!
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Chorus]
Atmospheres’ rivers
(Delivers)
The air and sea
(Come to me)
Where the winds
(Have been)
Set us free
(Fleetingly)

[Outro]
Today is…
(Silent k, o(k)ay?)
Ohhhh (Oh, o(k)ay)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Climate change and the increased frequency and intensity of rainstorms can be understood through the lens of chaos theory due to the highly sensitive and interconnected nature of the Earth’s climate system.

Chaos theory deals with systems that are highly sensitive to initial conditions, meaning small changes in one part of the system can lead to large and often unpredictable effects elsewhere. This concept is also known as the butterfly effect, where minor disturbances can lead to significant, non-linear outcomes over time.

Here’s how chaos theory relates to climate change and rainstorms:

1. Small Changes Amplified

The Earth’s climate is a chaotic system, meaning that slight alterations in atmospheric conditions, such as increases in greenhouse gases, can trigger complex and far-reaching effects. Even minor increases in carbon dioxide or methane, caused by human activities, can alter global temperatures, humidity levels, and the distribution of energy across the planet.

2. Non-linear Responses

In chaotic systems, the response to a change isn’t always proportional. A small increase in global temperature can result in disproportionately large impacts, such as more intense and frequent storms. Warmer air holds more moisture, leading to heavier rainfall. This relationship between temperature and rainfall is not linear, meaning that slight increases in temperature can result in significantly more rainfall during storms.

3. Unpredictability of Storm Patterns

Climate change has made weather patterns less predictable, which is a hallmark of chaotic systems. As the climate warms, it disrupts traditional patterns of rainfall, sometimes leading to unexpected or extreme storm events in areas that might not have experienced them before. This unpredictability is a result of the sensitivity of the climate system to small, cumulative changes in temperature and atmospheric composition.

4. Feedback Loops

Chaos theory also highlights the role of feedback loops, where initial changes reinforce themselves. For example, warming oceans lead to more evaporation, which fuels storms, and these storms can cause further warming by trapping heat. These feedback mechanisms can amplify the effects of climate change, making weather patterns even more erratic and intense.

5. Tipping Points

Chaotic systems often reach tipping points—critical thresholds beyond which small changes can result in dramatic and irreversible shifts. In the context of climate change, this could mean a point where weather patterns become so destabilized that they lead to a continuous cycle of extreme rainfall, flooding, and other unpredictable weather events.

By viewing the relationship between climate change and storm intensity through chaos theory, it becomes clear that the complex interplay of atmospheric factors makes the outcomes difficult to predict and control, even if we understand the contributing variables. This chaotic nature amplifies the risks and impacts of global climate shifts.

* Our climate model employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderUnintended Consequences

[Verse 1]
Ozone zone (moan)
For sure sulfur (suffer)
Our behavior
We’re the anti-savior

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Bridge]
Man, man sure can
Did and does until was
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

[Verse 2]
Methane gain (insane)
You know Albedo? (can’t let go)
Our behavior
We’re the anti-savior

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Bridge]
Man, man sure can
Did and does until was
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

[Chorus]
Unintended consequences
(Inexplicable)
Unlocks the paradox
(Despicable)

[Outro]
Guess he can’t see
(Reality)

A SCIENCE NOTE

Climate change is primarily driven by the escalation of thermal energy affecting biogeophysical and socio-economic systems. While biogeophysical factors can be studied using math, physics, and historical records, socio-economic systems pose greater challenges due to the unpredictable consequences of human behavior and inexplicable consumer choices.

Some unintended consequences contributing to climate change include:

  1. Ozone and the Biofuel Paradox: One of the more troubling contributors to tropospheric ozone is the increased use of ethanol in gasoline. Over the past few years, ethanol has become a mandated additive to gasoline blends, touted as a cleaner alternative to traditional fossil fuels. For example, in Pennsylvania, a 10% ethanol blend in gasoline and a 30% ethanol blend in diesel fuel are required to reduce harmful emissions. However, this practice has resulted in unintended consequences — specifically, the creation of more ozone. A 2024 study found that human-derived ozone has caused a significant decline in net primary productivity (NPP) across all tropical forests, resulting in an estimated 17% reduction in the tropical land carbon sink since 2000.
  2. Increased Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions: Switching to cleaner fuels with lower sulfur content can inadvertently lead to higher CO2 emissions. For example, marine vessels burning cleaner fuels may emit more CO2, a potent greenhouse gas, contributing to global warming and climate change.
  3. Deforestation for Biofuel Production: The use of biofuels as an alternative to fossil fuels can lead to deforestation as forests are cleared to make way for biofuel crops. Deforestation releases stored carbon into the atmosphere, exacerbating climate change.
  4. Land Use Change: Converting land for agricultural or urban development alters natural ecosystems, releasing stored carbon into the atmosphere. This change in land use can contribute to climate change by reducing the planet’s capacity to absorb carbon dioxide.
  5. Methane Leakage from Natural Gas Production: Natural gas is often touted as a cleaner alternative to coal; however, methane, a potent greenhouse gas, can leak during natural gas extraction, processing, and transportation. Methane emissions contribute to global warming and climate change.
  6. Albedo Effect from Land Use Change: Changes in land cover, such as deforestation or urbanization, can alter the Earth’s albedo, or its ability to reflect sunlight. Darker surfaces absorb more heat, leading to increased warming. For example, replacing forests with urban areas can decrease albedo, contributing to local and regional warming.
  7. Feedback Loops: Climate change can trigger feedback loops that further exacerbate warming. For example, melting ice caps reduce the Earth’s albedo, leading to more heat absorption and further melting. Similarly, thawing permafrost releases stored methane and carbon dioxide, amplifying greenhouse gas emissions.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderBringing It

[Intro]
Bringing it on
(and on and on)
Bringing along
(Yes! Bring on on)

[Verse 1]
Another year
Got us here
A new year
(Coming clear)
Bring on the cheer!
(Let’s here you cheer)

[Chorus]
Help the song grow strong
(Help it go long)
Bring it on!
(Come on, come on)

[Bridge]
Bring on the hear
Please come in clear
Here we grow strong
Hear we go long

[Verse 2]
The way a holiday
Can show a new way
Is near
(Coming clear)
Bring on the cheer!
(Let’s here you cheer)

[Chorus]
Help the song grow strong
(Help it go long)
Bring it on!
(Come on, come on)

[Bridge]
Bring on the cheer!
(Let’s here you cheer)
Here! Hear! Here!
Bringing it on
(and on and on)
Bringing along
(Yes! Bring on on)

[Outro]
Bringing it on
(and on and on)

This Christmas

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderWild! (Fire!)

[Intro]
Wild! (Fire!)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Verse 1]
Exhaust won’t tire
It just keeps going higher
Watch the winds blow
Catch it… don’t let it go….

[Chorus]
Wild! (Fire!)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Verse 2]
No such thing as a
Pollution dilution solution
Just accumulates and exacerbates
At increasing rates

[Chorus]
Wild (fire)
Transpire
Glowing aspire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Chorus]
Wild (fire)
Transpire
Glowing attire

[Bridge]
Watch it grow
Watch the glow
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

[Outro]
Watch it grow higher
Wow! Isn’t that wild! (Fire!)
Wildfire

A SCIENCE NOTE
I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought.”

A report by the USDA and the U.S. Forest Service found that the risk of wildfires has been drastically underestimated. The updated model concluded that wildfires pose a high risk to one-third of all U.S. residents and buildings. “We’re more accurately reflecting climate changes that we’ve seen in the last few years,” said Kelly Pohl, associate director at the nonprofit Headwaters Economics, which released the findings with the Forest Service.

A combination of factors creates  feedback loops, where more intense and frequent wildfires release large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, contributing to further climate change. This cycle reinforces the importance of addressing both the causes and consequences of climate change to mitigate the impact on wildfire risk. While the beautiful sunsets during forest fires create captivating visuals, it’s essential to recognize the environmental and health impacts associated with wildfires. Wildfires can cause significant damage to ecosystems, contribute to air pollution, and pose risks to human health. The mesmerizing sunsets are a visible reminder of the interconnectedness of atmospheric processes and the far-reaching effects of natural events like wildfires.

In addition to the carbon feedback loop (the carbon emissions of Canada’s fires outweighed the combined emissions from its oil and gas, transport and agriculture sectors), the fires also cause the melting of the permafrost and zombie fires to burn in the permafrost. The permafrost collapse is a self-sustaining feedback loop/tipping point. As the permafrost melts, the peatlands emit CO2 and methane. The increase in CO2 and methane results in more warming that results in more peatland emissions. A third feedback loop is created with lightning strikes. The study Forests at Risk Due to Lightning Fires found a sensitivity of extratropical intact forests to potential increases in lightning fires, which would have far-reaching consequences for terrestrial carbon storage and biodiversity. The results show that, on a global scale, lightning is the primary ignition source of fires in temperate and boreal forests. Global warming causes more extreme weather events and conditions for lightning creating more forest fires that create more warming and more lightning strikes.

The study Wildfire as a major driver of recent permafrost thaw in boreal peatlands published in the Journal Nature Communications found wildfires have caused a quarter of permafrost thaw (2,000 square kilometres) in Western Canada’s boreal peatlands over the past 30 years. “Historically, permafrost in this area underwent a natural cycle of thawing and reforming, but given current climate conditions and projections for the future, this fire-induced thaw appears to be irreversible,” said Carolyn Gibson, who conducted the research.

On January 1, 2024, the article, Why Are Alaska’s Rivers Turning Orange?, was published in Scientific America. “Streams in Alaska are turning orange with iron and sulfuric acid. Scientists who have studied these rusting rivers agree that the ultimate cause is climate change. Kobuk Valley National Park has warmed by 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.32 degrees Fahrenheit) since 2006 and could get another 10.2 degrees C hotter by 2100, a greater increase than projected for any other national park. The heat may already have begun to thaw 40 percent of the park’s permafrost, the layer of earth just under the topsoil that normally remains frozen year-round. McPhee wanted to protect the Salmon River because humans had ‘not yet begun to change it.’ Now, less than 50 years later, we have done just that. The last great wilderness in America, which by law is supposed to be ‘untrammeled by man,’ is being trammeled from afar by our global emissions.”

NASA reported: Wildland fire experts have described Canada’s 2023 fire season as record-breaking and shocking. Over the course of a fire season that started early and ended late, blazes have burned an estimated 18.4 million hectares. Hundreds of fires exceeded 10,000 hectares (39 square miles), large enough to be considered “megafires.” These megafires were also unusually widespread this season, charring forests from British Columbia and Alberta in the west to Quebec and the Atlantic provinces in the east to the Northwest Territories and the Yukon in the north.

Though the rate of change in climate disasters’ intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a “rule-of-thumb” can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, “Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec’s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur.”

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderThank You

[Intro]
Thank you
(Those that do)
Thank you
(Through and through)

[Verse 1]
Thank you
(Thank you, too)
Thank you
(Those that do)

[Chorus]
I’d like to thank you
For coming through
(Pulling through!)
Thank you for all you do
(Through and through!)
[Bridge]
Yes, you do.
(You sure do)
Thank you
Thank you, too

[Verse 2]
Thank you
(Yes! Thank you.)
And, you
(Thank you, too!)

[Chorus]
I’d like to thank you
For coming through
(Pulling through!)
Thank you for all you do
(Through and through!)

[Bridge]
Yes, you do.
(You sure do)
Thank you
Hearts are true

[Chorus]
I’d like to thank you
For coming through
(Pulling through!)
Thank you for all you do
(Through and through!)

[Outro]
Thank you (thank you!)
Thank you (thank you!)

The KingArthur Holiday Band

Christmas Bonus

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderTurn on the Atmosphere

[Intro]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
Did we turn on the fear
And, don’t know why

[Verse 1]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
None of it’s clear
And, who knows why?

[Bridge]
[Instrumental, Guitar Solo]
The things we do
Come back to bite, too

[Chorus]
The reason isn’t clear
Made it do or die
Brought far to near
Let out a cry (sigh)

[Verse 2]
Did we turn on the atmosphere
Did we turn on the sky
Forgot those dear
Didn’t even try

[Bridge]
The things we do (we do)
Come back to bite, too (me n’ you)

[Chorus]
The reason isn’t clear
Made it do or die
Brought far to near
Let out a cry (sigh)

[Bridge]
[Instrumental, Bass Solo]
The things we do (we do)
Come back to bite, too (comes true)
Are we through (I ask you)
What shall we do (do due)

[Outro]
The reason isn’t clear
(Brought far to near)

A SCIENCE NOTE
Our climate model employs chaos theory to assess human impacts. Global warming is driven by increased thermal energy within the climate system, a complex web of interconnected subsystems. Previous models often failed to account for “social-ecological systems,” where human activity significantly alters climate dynamics.

Global warming is caused by an increase in thermal energy in the climate system. The Earth is a climate system. Many subsystems make up our climate. Chaos theory emphasizes the complexity and nonlinearity of dynamic systems, and this complexity is inherent in the interactions between soil, atmosphere, and oceans in the Earth’s climate system.

Atmospheric circulation together with ocean circulation is how thermal energy is redistributed throughout the world. Chaos theory offers insights into the complex, nonlinear dynamics of climate systems role in the redistribution of thermal energy. The Earth’s climate is a highly complex and dynamic system, influenced by various factors such as ocean currents, atmospheric circulation, and feedback loops.

General Circulation Models for the earth climate are nonlinear and teleconnected. That means a small change in temperature or pressure or humidity in one small area on the globe can cause _large_ changes in conditions _anywhere_ on the globe. This is sometimes called the Butterfly effect. The complexity of these models can lead to chaotic behaviour. Climate science must grapple with these models and extract results in spite of the mathematical difficulties, and there have been remarkable successes in some cases and sad failures in others. Nevertheless we must proceed.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderMother’s Calling

[Intro]
Henry! (come to me)
Henry (it’s come to be)

[Verse 1]
Ashes are falling from the sky
After becoming too dry
Then wouldn’t you know
The water starts to flow

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Verse 2]
Ashes are falling, you know why
Enough to make you cry
Followed by a flow
With nowhere to go

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Chorus]
The tide is rising (uprising)
The reign is falling (down falling)
Can’t hide, surprising? (surprising.)
Mother’s calling (calling… calling)

[Bridge]
After not
It won’t stop
While time transpires
Until the next fire

[Outro]
Henry! (come to me)
Henry (it’s come to be)

A SCIENCE NOTE
I asked Sidd, “Are you starting to think wildfires are the most significant threat, or is violent rain still reigning at #1?” Sidd replied, “Well, I never thought I’d see Canada burn. The smoke in the eastern U.S. is currently coming from the Amazon, and Ohio is in severe drought. We were considering buying land in the wooded areas of southeast Ohio, but now we’re reconsidering.”

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

From the The EndOf the Line” and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous

bookmark_borderForget the Loving?

[Intro]
Dag-nab-it
(F-n’ shhh…)
Forgot it

[Verse 1]
You know…
I keep forgetting
Forgetting the love
(Forgot the loving)
And, just like that
Wham, bam, slam
There I am
(Forgetting the love)
(Once again, there I am)

[Chorus]
Come on me
I’ve got to keep on going
Remembering the loving
(F-the pushin’ n’ shovin’)
Bring on the loving
(Love, love, love)

[Verse 2]
To prevent this tragedy
Becoming travesty
Gotta stop!
(Stop this strategy)
Of forgetting the love
(Forgot the loving? never again)
And, just like that
Wham, bam, slam
There I am
(Forgetting the lovin’)
(Once again, there I am)

[Chorus]
Come on me
I’ve got to keep on going
Remembering the loving
(F-the pushin’ n’ shovin’)
Bring on the loving
(Love, love, love)

[Bridge]
And, just like that
Wham, bam, slam
There I am
(Forgetting the lovin’)
Once again, there I am
Forgot A, B, C, D
E — All the above
(Forgot the love)
Love!
(Oh, no! Don’t forget the love)

[Outro]
No, no (never again)
(Won’t forget the love)
E) All the above

From the album “Wild Ride” by The Beatless Sense Mongers and the album “A Negril Chill” by Narley Marley

MegaEpix Enormous