Category: chaos theory

bookmark_borderSolve to Slow

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LYRICS
The temperature’s rising
Boiler’s going to blow
All take action
That are in the know
With a mind that’s quick
Solve to slow
With a kind heart pick
Which way to go

The waters are rising
Going to overflow
All take action
That are in the know
With a mind that’s quick
Solve to slow
With a kind heart pick
Which way to go

Do you find it surprising
Food’s harder to grow
All take action
That are in the know
With a mind that’s quick
Solve to slow
With a kind heart pick
Which way to go

Solve-to-Slow.mp3

Chords: G/7 Bb C G / G C G / C D7 G
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar

A song about the acceleration of climate change. How fast are humans causing the climate to change? When we started our experiments in the 1990’s, we thought the time scale was in millenniums. If climate change were happening on a linear basis, we would have been correct; however, by the late 90’s we were convinced climate change was non-linear.

Doubling time is the amount of time it takes for a quantity to double in size (exponential growth). By 2020, there was enough data to see the doubling time of some anthropogenic climate affects had gone from 100 years to 10 years. For instance the rate of sea level rise has gone from about 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. We expect to see the doubling period to continue to shrink raising the possibility of sea levels rising a foot/year by 2050.

At what rate is climate change accelerating?
A: Rapidly
As described above, we do not know the rate of acceleration other than to say it is more rapid than previously thought. In the summer of 2023, the extreme temperatures left most climate scientists shocked. The average earth surface temperature recorded record highs for months reaching over 3 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The Paris Agreement calls for keeping temperatures below 1.5 degrees. Scientists concur that a rise of 2 degrees will trigger feedback loops and tipping points. Triggering these tipping points results in the CO2 stored in nature to be released at an exponential growth rate. How extreme the acceleration will be depends on tipping points toppling other tipping points in what is known as The Domino Effect. Toppled tipping points will continue to shrink the doubling time and exponentially increase the rate of global warming. Though we do not know how much carbon is stored in nature, it would be reasonable to assume that the temperature could be pushed from 3 degrees to 6 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Humans can not thrive above a rise of 1.5 degrees. Humans can not survive if the temperature rises 6 degrees.

About the 2023 wildfires in Hawaii, Governor Josh Green said, “For perspective, we’ve had six fire emergencies this August, we had six fire emergencies between 1953 and 2003. That’s how- how fast things are changing. I know that there is debate out there whether we should be talking about climate change or not. Well, let’s be real world, climate change is here we are in the midst of it with a hotter planet, and fiercer storms.”

About the catastrophic die-off of 10,000 emperor penguin chicks in the Antarctic, Dr. Caroline Holmes of the British Antarctic Survey (an expert on Antarctic sea-ice) said, “What we’re seeing right now is so far outside what we’ve observed previously. We expected change but I don’t think we expected so much change so rapidly.”
— From Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_border= M/V –> D / (A * .5 * r * V^2) [Density Figures Into Drag]

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LYRICS
= M/V
The severity
Of the density
Then once you know
How it goes into the flow
Thick is sick
Can you come back quick
Not that slick
Led by lead
A sinker not a thinker
Oh, what a drag
Once again…
See how you fit in?
Can’t hit a snag
When you are the drag
Oh so efficient
As the co-efficient
Why on Earth would that make you brag
Oh… what a drag
Your density is getting to me
Let go of my flow!

= M/V
The severity
Of the density
Then once you know
How it goes into the flow
Thick is sick
Oh what a drag

This song is about the abuse scientists experience online.

People,
Please oh please keep your political opinions out of science.
Thank you,
The management

When a particularly abusive knucklehead kept attacking me with their stupidity, racism, and bigotry, I replied:
= M/V –> D / (A * .5 * r * V^2)

M/V is the formula for density.
D / (A * .5 * r * V^2) is the formula for the co-efficient of drag.

So this response was both figuratively and literally appropriate. The person’s dense intellect figures into their being such a drag. The formulas also critically prove the impact of human induced climate change.

From Climate Change: The Equation / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

Technically Speaking, It’s Not the Momentum That Kills You

It’s not the fall that kills you; it’s the sudden stop at the end.

Technically speaking it is the impact from the momentum that causes damage and deaths. Global warming causes an increase in mass and/or velocity (momentum) of things that are mass flow driven by heat, like wind and flood.

The burning of fossil fuels and other human released emissions have impacted momentum’s impact. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. Warmer air allows for the creation of more massive raindrops. Warmer ocean temperatures create stronger hurricanes. Hail and tornadoes form in strong thunderstorm clouds with intense updrafts, high liquid-water content, and large water droplets.

Sidd added: It’s worse than that. Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity.

About “square of the velocity”, I asked Sidd: is this Bernoulli’s Equation?

Sidd replied:

look at Wikipedia: Drag (Physics)
you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2)

The Drag Equation
So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour. Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind. So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on.

Chords: E A D / B E / C D E / C B7 E; Part II 128 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Bass, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Yamaha PSR-740, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderDoubling Time

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LYRICS
Go ahead
Scratch at the surface
Go ahead
Mind needs fed
2+2, 4+4
Go for more
8+8
No debate
Double the score

Go ahead
Scratch at the surface
Go ahead
Mind needs fed
16+16
Know what I mean?
32+32
Yes, I do

Go ahead
Scratch at the surface
Go ahead
Mind needs fed
64+64
Go for more
128+128
Celebrate
Go for more
Double the score
This time
It’s time
For double time

Doubling Time.mp3 (unplugged to save energy)

Chords: E A D G / E A D E / E A G F# E
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar
Written and recorded at Lake Wynonah, Pennsylvania

T_{d}=t \frac{\ln (2)}{\ln \left(1+\frac{r}{100}\right)}
T_{d} = doubling time
t = time
{r} = growth rate

Doubling time is the amount of time it takes for a quantity to double in size (exponential growth). For instance, if you invest your money at 10%, it will take about 7 years to double your money. For every $1,000 invested today, you will accumulate $128,000 in 49 years.

The same principle holds true with the accumulated impact of climate change. By 2020, there was enough data to see the “doubling period” of some anthropogenic climate affects had gone from 100 years to 10 years. For instance, the rate of sea level rise has gone from about 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. We expect to see the doubling period to continue to shrink raising the possibility of sea levels rising a foot/year by 2050.

Though the rate of change in climate disasters’ intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a “rule-of-thumb” can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, “Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec’s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur.”

50% more intense
7 x more likely

These numbers may be similar in other catastrophes like hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, floods, tornadoes, and sea level rise.

If the doubling time remains at 10 years, we could see extreme events 100% more intense and/or longer in duration, as well as, 14 times more likely to occur. As mentioned above, we expect the doubling time to be reduced. If the doubling time is 5 years, in ten years we could see 200% more intense and longer extreme weather events being 28 times more likely to occur.

— from Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration  / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderTipping Point

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LYRICS
There’s a drought in the rainforest
There’s no doubt what that’s about
You’ll find out about opinion
Versus the definition
Of desertification
Reached a tipping point
Fell over the edge
Who’s running this joint?
Need a new world pledge
Let’s get right to the point
Pledge to walk back…
… from the ledge
(Please step back from the ledge)

As a matter of fact, AMOC is whack
There’s no doubt what that’s about
You’ll find out about opinion
Versus the definition
Of overturning circulation

Alas, mountain glacier loss
There’s no doubt what that’s about
You’ll find out about opinion
Versus the definition
Of coastal saturation

Reached a tipping point
Fell over the edge
Who’s running this joint?
Need a new world pledge
Let’s get right to the point
Pledge to walk back…
… from the ledge
(Please step back from the ledge)
Reached a tipping point?
Reached tipping points
Breached tipping points
Multiple tipping points
Who’s running this joint?
Need a new world pledge
Let’s get right to the point
Pledge to walk back…
… from the ledge
(Please step back from the ledge)

Chords: B C E / A G E / G A E / G A A G E; Part II @ 110 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Bass, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

The song is about tipping points we appear to have breached. Push a glass toward the edge of a table and eventually it will fall off on its own. No matter how slowly or meticulously you push… no matter how you weight or fill the glass, it will reach a tipping point and fall off before being pushed completely off the table. No matter whether you believe the glass is half-empty or half-full, when the tipping point is reached it will plummet out-of-control to its end. This is science not fate, faith, nor belief. Human induced climate change has resulted in environmental tipping points being breached.

Crossing one tipping point would be alarming. For instance, crossing the tipping point for ‘mountain glacier loss‘ has immediate consequences: millions of people in Europe will be impacted by the lack of fresh water. Billions of people that live along coasts will be impacted by the saline infiltration and eventually by the submerging of their property. This in and of itself should be alarming; however, it gets worse. Tipping points are parts of feedback loop systems. The ice–albedo feedback loop is an expression of the ability of surfaces to reflect sunlight (heat from the sun). Any loss of ice over a darker surface means the surface will absorb more heat and reflect less heat. This process makes the Earth warmer causing more loss of ice… which in turn causes more warming of the Earth. So, yes, the mountain ice tipping point is quite alarming for both its immediate impact as well as its self-sustaining growth to global warming; but wait, it gets more alarming. The increasing temperatures due to crossing a tipping point causes other tipping points to be breached.

The tipping point for the collapse of AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) was thought to be centuries away, at the earliest. In July of 2023, the study Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation was published in the journal Nature Communications. “Here we provide statistical significance and data-driven estimators for the time of tipping. We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century (2025-2095) under the current scenario of future emissions.” The collapse is likely to cause faster sea level rise on the east coast of the US, more severe storms in Europe, and increasing drought in the Sahel in Africa. “From the study of past climate, we know changes in the AMOC have been some of the most abrupt and impactful events in the history of climate,” said Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf, at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and world leading oceanographer. During the last Ice Age, winter temperatures changed by up to 10C within three years in some places. “We are dealing with a system that in some aspects is highly non-linear, so fiddling with it is very dangerous, because you may well trigger some surprises,” he said. “I wish I knew where this critical tipping point is, but that is unfortunately just what we don’t know. We should avoid disrupting the AMOC at all costs. It is one more reason why we should stop global warming as soon as possible.” A feedback loop created by the AMOC tipping point is disruption in weather systems and circulation that cause loss of naturally occurring carbon sinks. One scenario is desertification of the Amazon rainforest.

The tipping point / feedback loop problem is very complex (chaos theory) and exponentially alarming. A third tipping point appears to have been triggered by the summer of 2023 — Amazon Rainforest Dieback. The Amazon is often referred to as ‘the lungs of our planet’. Not only does the Amazon suck in huge quantities of CO2 and breath out O2, but the Amazon soils also store huge amounts of CO2.  The desertification of the Amazon would result in a release of the carbon as the soils disappeared.

1) much of July was spent at record temperatures +3C
2) the collapse of the Amazon rainforest is likely to happen between +2 – 4C. The collapse of the Amazon is expected to occur because of changing weather patterns and circulation that result in drought.
3) Brazil set up a task force for “unprecedented drought in the Amazon”

Low river levels and hotter waters have killed masses of fish seen floating on river surfaces, contaminating the drinking water, Environment Minister Marina Silva said. “We have a very worrying situation. This record drought has disrupted river transport routes (dropping 30 cm / day) threatening food and water shortages, and a large fish mortality is already beginning.” This was the effect of a periodic El Niño mixing with changes in weather patterns brought by global warming. “We are seeing a collision of two phenomena, one natural which is El Niño and the other a phenomenon produced by humans, which is the change in the Earth’s temperature.” Worsened by climate change, this combination has caused drought not seen before in the Amazon and “is incomparably stronger and could happen more frequently.” 

Scientists concur that a rise of 2 degrees will trigger feedback loops and tipping points. Triggering these tipping points results in the CO2 stored in nature to be released. Though we do not know how much carbon is stored in nature, it would be reasonable to assume that the temperature could be pushed from 3 degrees to 6 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Humans cannot thrive above a rise of 1.5 degrees. Humans cannot survive if the temperature rises 6 degrees.

— from Toppled Tipping Points: The Domino Effect Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderLeft in Ruins

Posted on by admin

Left-in-Ruins.mp3

LYRICS
They’re packing it up
They’re moving it out
They said, “Damn it…
Need a new planet!”
They’re moving real fast
They’re trying to move past
They said, “Look out…
You’re in the route”
Human race
Wrecked the place

They’re loading it up
Leaving no doubt
They said, “Damn it…
Need a new planet!”
They’re moving real fast
They’re trying to move past
They said, “Look out…
You’re in the route”
Human race
Trashed the place

They’ve had enough
Of too much stuff
They said, “Damn it…
Need a new planet!”
They’re moving real fast
They’re trying to move past
They said, “Look out…
You’re in the route”
Human race
Ruined the place

They’re packing it up
They’re moving it out
They said, “Damn it…
Need a new planet!”

Chords: E A D G E / B7 E
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar

A song about:
“LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman has told the New Yorker that at least 50% of Silicon Valley’s wealthiest have ‘apocalypse insurance’ – either an underground bunker or a contingency plan in case of disaster. ‘Saying you’re buying a house in New Zealand is kind of a wink, wink, say no more.'”
and… “the billionaire bunker, whether on land, sea or someday (ostensibly) on another planet entirely.”

It’s kind-of like Dr. Frankenstein hiding from his monster?

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderDensity

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
Dense
I see density
Hits me
Like reality
In sane
Wind whipped rain
When gas turns to liquid
As it just did
You come to know
The force of flow
In that space
Where it hits your face
You’ll make sense
Of what is dense
Literally, I can see density
It disfigures me
Density
Times the squared velocity
The irony
In my eye
I see
Density
Yeah… it hits me

What a drag
Hit a snag
Came to know
The forces flow

Chords: F#m / D#m F#m / G#m Gm F#m; 121 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals, Electric Guitar, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

Technically Speaking, It’s Not the Momentum That Kills You

It’s not the fall that kills you; it’s the sudden stop at the end.

Technically speaking it is the impact from the momentum that causes damage and deaths. Global warming causes an increase in mass and/or velocity (momentum) of things that are mass flow driven by heat, like wind and flood.

The burning of fossil fuels and other human released emissions have impacted momentum’s impact. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. Warmer air allows for the creation of more massive raindrops. Warmer ocean temperatures create stronger hurricanes. Hail and tornadoes form in strong thunderstorm clouds with intense updrafts, high liquid-water content, and large water droplets.

Sidd added: It’s worse than that. Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity.

About “square of the velocity”, I asked Sidd: is this Bernoulli’s Equation?

Sidd replied:

look at Wikipedia: Drag (Physics)
you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2)

The Drag Equation

So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour. Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind. So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on. — from “Climate Change: The Equation” / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderDrag Force

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
The forces of nature
Continue to grow
Divorce from mature
What’s in you will show

The choices we made
Continue to blow
Voices that throw shade
Miss what’s in the know

Now that we’ve dared
The velocity squared
Tossed to and fro
The undertow
Of the overflow
The drag force… of course!

Intensity density
Continues to grow
Sensitivity of humanity
Is still a no-show

The choices we made
Continue to blow
Voices that throw shade
Miss what’s in the know

Now that we’ve dared
The velocity squared
Tossed to and fro
The undertow
Of the overflow
The drag force… of course!

The destiny of energy
Is quid pro quo
As humanity gets angry
At the ill we show

The choices we made
Continue to blow
Voices that throw shade
Miss what’s in the know

Now that we’ve dared
The velocity squared
Tossed to and fro
The undertow
Of the overflow
The drag force… of course!

Drag-Force.mp3

Chords: F#m A / E6 B7 F#m / D E6 F#m / F#m Am G#m F#m
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar
Written and recorded at Lake Wynonah, Pennsylvania

Technically Speaking, It’s Not the Momentum That Kills You

It’s not the fall that kills you; it’s the sudden stop at the end.

Technically speaking it is the impact from the momentum that causes damage and deaths. Global warming causes an increase in mass and/or velocity (momentum) of things that are mass flow driven by heat, like wind and flood.

The burning of fossil fuels and other human released emissions have impacted momentum’s impact. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. Warmer air allows for the creation of more massive raindrops. Warmer ocean temperatures create stronger hurricanes. Hail and tornadoes form in strong thunderstorm clouds with intense updrafts, high liquid-water content, and large water droplets.

Sidd added: It’s worse than that. Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity.

About “square of the velocity”, I asked Sidd: is this Bernoulli’s Equation?

Sidd replied:

look at Wikipedia: Drag (Physics)
you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2)

 

 

The Drag Equation

 

So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour. Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind. So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on. — from “Climate Change: The Equation” / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderThe Unsung Young

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
Keep it simple?
It’s a complex world
Solve the riddle
Before growing old
If you dream big enough
And your heart’s not too tough
Begun the unsung young

The-Unsung-Young.mp3

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way — a climate crisis. A simple way to try to explain it can be found in the explanation of tipping points:

Push a glass toward the edge of a table and eventually it will fall off on its own. No matter how slowly or meticulously you push… no matter how you weight or fill the glass, it will reach a tipping point and fall off before being pushed completely off the table. No matter whether you believe the glass is half-empty or half-full, when the tipping point is reached it will plummet out-of-control to its end. This is science not fate, faith, nor belief. Human induced climate change has resulted in environmental tipping points being breached.

The youth offer us our best hope. Keep your heart and mind young. Save the world.

Chords: Em F#M7 / G D C C D G
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderOnce in a Blue Moon

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
Sing me a song
That it won’t be long
Coming soon
Before the Blue Moon
It’s coming along
No, we can’t go wrong
Coming soon
Before the Blue Moon
Save us from ourselves
If nobody else
Make it plain to see
Our humanity

Sing me a song
How it won’t be long
Found buffoon
Before the Blue Moon
We’re coming on strong
No, it wont’ be long
Coming soon
Before the Blue Moon
Save us from ourselves
If nobody else
Make it plain to see
Our humanity

Sing me a tune
That we will resume
Coming soon
Before the Blue Moon
We learn to love
Beyond and above
Not just once
In a Blue Moon
Save us from ourselves
If nobody else
Make it plain to see
Our humanity

A NASA Study reported, “If global temperatures keep rising and reach 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels, people worldwide could face multiple impacts of climate change simultaneously.”

I responded, “If”? … sadly no longer “If”… at current levels of emissions, we will reach an average of +3 in the 2050’s. (We already reached that average for July of 2023.) Multiple tipping points have already been breached… the dominoes are falling. According to the new IPCC chair, Jim Skea, we would need to stop all emissions immediately… and then there is a small chance that we would peek at +1.5 – 2… and then start coming back down after 2100. However, he admits chances are slim that we will stop using fossil fuels. The speed at which we will reach +3 to +6 depends mostly on how much CO2 is stored in nature. We do not know that answer. But as these tipping points take off on their own, we will find out.

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). Tipping points and feedback loops are parts of an equation that determine the rate of acceleration in climate change.

Chords: C A7 / C D A7: Part II from 98 to 108 to 118 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderYou’re Getting Warmer

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
I spy something warmer
Comes with a disclaimer
Everything within sight
Could soon ignite
Is running down the street
Burning your feet
Is everyone you meet
Jumping in too deep
Gone dire
On fire

I spy something warmer
Comes with a disclaimer
Everything within sight
Could soon ignite
An apocalyptic view
Coming to you
As every one you meet
Is burning on the street
Gone dire
On fire

I spy something warmer
Comes with a disclaimer
Everything within sight
Could soon ignite
All your hopes and dreams
Like a World War movie scene
No more news flashes
The world lay in ashes
Gone dire
On fire

In the Hawaii wildfires of August 2023, both wind and water flow forces contributed to the devastation. Hurricane Dora was at least 500 miles from Hawaii yet the wind forces impacted the fire in Maui. The winds were so strong that before the fire reached Lahaina extremely hot air blew over the town. The streets were so hot they burnt people’s feet trying to flee. The surface of everything became hot. Even after people jumped into the ocean, they said the debris in the water was too hot to float on.

The blast of hot air over Lahaina created the conditions for a flashpoint. A flashpoint is the temperature at which a particular organic compound gives off sufficient vapor to ignite in air. The entire town ignited so quickly that warning sirens could not be activated and people did not have time to escape.

In an unexpected twist, water flow forces also contributed to the chaos. How could water flow add to the fire emergency conditions? When people fled the heat and fire, they jumped into the sea. ABC news reported: Shawn Dougherty, of Lahaina, was among the hundreds of residents forced to flee the resort city when the wildfire began engulfing their homes.

Like others, Dougherty said his only means of survival was to jump into the ocean with his girlfriend, but while some found safety in nearby jetties, the rocks and coral tore up Dougherty’s body.

“At one point, it seemed like I might drown,” he told ABC News. “I’m a good swimmer, but the water was just really rough because of the wind and the turbulence.”

From: Climate Change: The Equation / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

Chords: Em G A A G Em / Em C D Em / Em B7 B7 Em; Part II @ 120 BPM
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Bass, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

The hall of historic Waiola Church in Lahaina and nearby Lahaina Hongwanji Mission are engulfed in flames along Wainee Street on Tuesday, Aug. 8, 2023, in Lahaina, Hawaii. (Matthew Thayer/The Maui News via AP)

bookmark_borderThe Sudden Stop

Posted on by admin

LYRICS
No, it’s not the fall
No, it’s not the fall at all
Yes, as I recall
Recall it’s not the fall at all
That will kill you
It’s the stop
Not the drop
But the… stop!
[sudden stop]

The same holds true
How the climate crisis
Will be killing you
Do you know
Wind and floods flow?
As man fails (and flails)
Damage scales

Can you see
Exponentially?
@ V ^2
We phased, too
Velocity squared impaired
Some sum momentum
The act of impact
Velocity squared impaired

It’s not the fall that kills you; it’s the sudden stop at the end.

I said: Technically speaking it is the impact from the momentum that causes damage and deaths. Global warming causes an increase in mass and/or velocity (momentum) of things that are mass flow driven by heat, like wind and flood. The burning of fossil fuels and other human released emissions have impacted momentum’s impact. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. Warmer air allows for the creation of more massive raindrops. Warmer ocean temperatures create stronger hurricanes. Hail and tornadoes form in strong thunderstorm clouds with intense updrafts, high liquid-water content, and large water droplets.

Sidd added: It’s worse than that. Wind and water flow forces scale as the square of velocity, so as flow speeds increase (say due to more intense heating or heavier rain) the damage scales as the square of the velocity.

About “square of the velocity”, I asked Sidd:
is this Bernoulli’s Equation?
Sidd replied:
you will see that force is proportional to density times square of velocity (v^2)
So a twenty mile an hour wind exerts four times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. And a forty mile an hour wind exerts sixteen times as much force as a ten mile an hour wind. A wind of fifty miles an hour exerts twenty five times and a wind of sixty miles an hour exerts thirty six times as much force as one of ten miles an hour.
Then you have the density term. Water is about eight hundred times denser than air, So the force exerted by a ten mile an hour flow of water is eight hundred times that of a ten mile an hour wind.  So as flow velocities go up due to climate change, force and damage scale as square of the velocities. What is not clear is how much these velocities increase with climate change. But in a sense we are seeing this already as, for example, flood and sewage systems succumb and hillsides fall down, and so on. — from “Climate Change: The Equation” Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

Climate Change: The End of Times

Chords: F# G G@ G# G F# / B D C#7 F# / F# C# C# F#; Part II @ 120 BPM
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderFirst One Fell

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LYRICS
First one fell
Oh, well
This is hell?
Fare thee…
Scarcity
Forget about variety
Pales in comparison
Stale’s new companion
The dream of thrive
Is barely alive
Now we strive
Just to stay alive

First one fell
Oh, well?
What the heck
Knocked the next
Second fell
Just as well?
This is hell
Fare thee…
Another down
Come sing around
Another down
Come sing around
Another down
Come sing around

Pales in comparison
Stale’s new companion
The dream of thrive
Is barely alive
Now we strive
Just to stay alive

First-One-Fell.mp3

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way. Humans have caused chain-reactions resulting in domino-effects, snowball effects, and feedback loops. This song is about the first domino falling… starting the chain-reaction of falling dominoes.  Tipping points are similar to falling dominoes, and feedback loops are similar to a snowball rolling down a hill. So part of the climate change formula might look something like this:

the domino effect * the snowball effect:
(h cos α−(s+d)sin θi+1) * a(1 + r) x

Chords: Dm D#m Em / G D C / C Em Em C
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar
Written and recorded at Lake Wynonah, PA

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderNext Up… Zero

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LYRICS
3, 2, 1…
Get ready to run
’cause you know
Next up…
Zero
Blast off
Post scoff
Falling domino
Rolling snowball
Societal fall
Time to go
Try to calculate the rate
Of acceleration
Take the bait
And contemplate
Civilization

1, 2, 3
Start your engines
it gets worse
Than one imagines
Blast off
Post scoff
Falling domino
Rolling snowball
Societal fall
Time to go
Try to calculate the rate
Of acceleration
Take the bait
And contemplate
Civilization

Sooooo…
10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0
Blast off
Post scoff
Falling domino
Rolling snowball
Societal fall
Time to go
Try to calculate the rate
Of acceleration
Take the bait
And contemplate
Civilization

Next-Up-Zero.mp3

Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way. Tipping points and feedback loops are parts of an equation that determine the rate of acceleration in climate change.

Climate Change: The End of Times

Chords: Em C D / D C / C Em / Em G Em
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar
Written and recorded at Lake Wynonah, PA

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderIn the I of the Storm

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LYRICS
Minimum damage
Or maximum pain
“I Need Some” — Damn Age
Think you’re insane
In the eye of the storm
Everything’s calm
Feel the norm
Forget the bomb?

The other eye of the hurricane
Still remains
Shame the human brain
Can’t refrain
In the eye of the storm
Everything’s calm
Feel the norm
Forget the bomb?

As the eye moves on from I
I soon realize
That wind and rain bring on pain
Should come as no surprise
Left the eye of the storm
All has gone wrong
Deal with a new norm
Cry your same old song

A song about the speed of climate change and the illusion of “calm” when you are in the eye-of-a-hurricane. Tipping points and feedback loops are parts of an equation that determine the rate of acceleration in climate change. Just like coming out of the eye back into the hurricane, the rapid rise in global warming should come as no surprise. A hurricane is a chaotic system, as is climate change. Human induced climate change is an exponential component of an unordered system (chaos theory). That means global warming is accelerating at a rapid rate in a complex way.

Climate Change: The End of Times

Chords: A C G D / E A D / D C / C E / E A/m7; Part II @ 126 BPM
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Bass, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderWeather Wars

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LYRICSWhile the herd is aimlessly grazing
What I’ve heard is hair-raising
All the cows lay with a storm on the way
No not me
Seek shelter out of harm’s way
Grab your lover
And run for cover
Weather war
Is dishing out more
Fore sure
It’s up to us
If you’re prosperous

We’ve been given the time
Yet ended sublime
Chose to self-anoint
Then, exploit
While the herd is aimlessly grazing
What I’ve heard is hair-raising
All the cows lay with a storm on the way
No not me
Seek shelter out of harm’s way
Grab your lover
And run for cover
Weather war
Is dishing out more
Fore sure
It’s up to us
If we’re prosperous

This song is about 2 social media posts I made the day the song was written and recorded:

For those people living in Southeastern PA, extreme weather warning for this afternoon. Please remember:
Q: Is there a limiting factor to the size of raindrops… that will prevent them from becoming lethal?
A: “A Hard Rain Is Falling” and, yes, hail can kill you.

I responded to a post about climate change being “frightening” and what we need to do. Most people want the government and/or businesses to take responsibility. Here was my response:
It is in everybody’s best interest to abandon fossil fuels immediately. The inevitable is already bad enough… if we continue on as usual, the severity and immediacy will increase exponentially. All need to take action… governments and businesses as organizations, and even more importantly — us… people. Everybody (at least in the USA) can go net-zero today and save money at the same time. Reaching “net zero” is easy, cheap, and saves you thousands of dollars, not to mention, you can help save the planet. Electricity and heat, food and land use, transportation, and investment. Here is what I’ve done to go carbon negative: Go Net Zero Now.

When I say “The inevitable is already bad enough”… this is what we are talking about… your guaranteed future:
Sea-level Rise: Greenland and the Collapse of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet

Chords: Dm F Em / G Em / C D E / D F; Part II @ 101 BPM
Instrumentation: Vocals, Acoustic Guitar, Electric Guitar, Bass, Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-500, Korg N364, MiniNova, MicroKorg)

A song about The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment